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Cincinnati (18-15 in 2025–26) hosts UCF (21-11 in 2025–26) on Feb 13, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UCF offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · CIN defense in 4 (2 by a clear margin)
CIN offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · UCF defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UCFCIN
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UCFCINNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Moustapha Thiam's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Themus Fulks | 33.9 | 14.2 | 2.7 | 5.9 |
| Jordan Burks | 32.1 | 13.6 | 5.6 | 0.7 |
| Jamichael Stillwell | 30.2 | 10.8 | 8.1 | 2.9 |
| Riley Kugel | 29.3 | 14.2 | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| John Bol | 22.6 | 6.7 | 6.9 | 0.3 |
| Chris Johnson | 18.5 | 6.9 | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| Devan Cambridge | 16.1 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| Carmelo Pacheco | 14.0 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baba Miller | 33.9 | 12.9 | 9.9 | 4.3 |
| Day Day Thomas | 31.7 | 10.3 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| Jizzle James | 30.3 | 10.8 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Jalen Celestine | 29.7 | 11.7 | 3.9 | 1.9 |
| Moustapha Thiam | 28.3 | 15.0 | 8.2 | 0.6 |
| Keyshuan Tillery | 15.5 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| Sencire Harris | 13.2 | 3.7 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Kerr Kriisa | 11.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
UCF offenseper gameCIN defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UCFForAgainst46% of UCF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
CINForAgainst49% of CIN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UCF 4series6 CIN| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | CIN 65 | UCF 66 | UCF+1 | +1 |
| Feb 8, 2026 | UCF 72 | CIN 92 | CIN+20 | +20 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | CIN 72 | UCF 73 | UCF+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | UCF 88 | CIN 80 | UCF+8 | +8 |
| Feb 5, 2025 | CIN 93 | UCF 83 | CIN+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | CIN 76 | UCF 74 | CIN+2 | +2 |
| Jan 27, 2024 | UCF 57 | CIN 68 | CIN+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | CIN 73 | UCF 71 | CIN+2 | +2 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | UCF 64 | CIN 73 | CIN+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2022 | CIN 61 | UCF 75 | UCF+14 | +14 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UCF20-10 · last 30 games | CIN15-15 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 81.0#83 of 361 | 63.4#346 of 361 | 74.8 |
| 2nd half points for | 42.8#50 of 361 | 37.7#266 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 110.3#176 of 361 | 100.2#345 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 114.5#83 of 361 | 106.6#238 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.