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UNC Greensboro (13-18 in 2025–26) hosts Samford (16-14 in 2025–26) on Feb 11, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
SAM offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UNCG defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
UNCG offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · SAM defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
SAMUNCG
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
SAMUNCGNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jadin Booth's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadin Booth | 38.1 | 22.8 | 3.5 | 2.2 |
| Keaton Norris | 34.0 | 9.5 | 4.1 | 4.9 |
| Cade Norris | 32.3 | 10.0 | 4.3 | 2.1 |
| Dylan Faulkner | 27.5 | 17.0 | 10.3 | 2.1 |
| Isaiah Campbell-Finch | 22.0 | 6.8 | 1.9 | 1.0 |
| Zion Wilburn | 18.9 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Kam Martin | 17.4 | 6.5 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| Will Shaver | 10.3 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 0.8 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Neely | 32.9 | 20.2 | 11.7 | 1.9 |
| KJ Younger | 29.5 | 17.3 | 4.3 | 1.3 |
| Valentino Pinedo | 28.7 | 7.1 | 5.4 | 1.4 |
| Noah Norgaard | 28.7 | 8.8 | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| Lilian Marville | 28.4 | 8.8 | 1.5 | 3.3 |
| Donald Whitehead Jr. | 22.6 | 7.9 | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| Clinton Efinda | 17.3 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Domas Kauzonas | 6.4 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.1 |
SAM offenseper gameUNCG defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
SAMForAgainst48% of SAM's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UNCGForAgainst46% of UNCG's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
SAM 8series2 UNCG| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | UNCG 78 | SAM 87 | SAM+9 | +9 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | SAM 82 | UNCG 89 | UNCG+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | SAM 100 | UNCG 108 | UNCG+8 | +8 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | UNCG 69 | SAM 76 | SAM+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024 | SAM 78 | UNCG 69 | SAM+9 | +9 |
| Jan 11, 2024 | UNCG 70 | SAM 79 | SAM+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | UNCG 71 | SAM 83 | SAM+12 | +12 |
| Jan 7, 2023 | SAM 70 | UNCG 68 | SAM+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | UNCG 64 | SAM 66 | SAM+2 | +2 |
| Feb 19, 2022 | UNCG 49 | SAM 55 | SAM+6 | +6 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | SAM16-14 · last 30 games | UNCG13-17 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 50.2%#2 of 361 | 45.3%#304 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −1.9#112 of 361 | −0.8#284 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +1.2#149 of 361 | −6.5#264 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 112.3#127 of 361 | 118.5#18 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.