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Iowa (21-12 in 2025–26) hosts Oregon (12-20 in 2025–26) on Feb 10, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
ORE offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · IOWA defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
IOWA offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · ORE defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
OREIOWA
Expected pace: about 65 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
OREIOWANo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Bennett Stirtz's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Bittle | 35.8 | 17.4 | 7.1 | 3.4 |
| Takai Simpkins | 33.8 | 12.5 | 3.2 | 2.5 |
| Kwame Evans Jr. | 32.9 | 13.7 | 7.3 | 1.5 |
| Sean Stewart | 25.5 | 6.7 | 4.7 | 1.7 |
| Dezdrick Lindsay | 21.2 | 5.7 | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| Drew Carter | 19.0 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Wei Lin | 18.2 | 6.8 | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Jamari Phillips | 14.0 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Stirtz | 39.9 | 22.2 | 2.6 | 3.9 |
| Cooper Koch | 30.5 | 8.3 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| Tavion Banks | 25.7 | 10.3 | 4.9 | 1.0 |
| Kael Combs | 24.0 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| Alvaro Folgueiras | 22.5 | 8.0 | 3.7 | 2.7 |
| Cam Manyawu | 20.5 | 6.5 | 4.3 | 1.0 |
| Isaia Howard | 18.7 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| Tate Sage | 13.5 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 0.2 |
ORE offenseper gameIOWA defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
OREForAgainst44% of ORE's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
IOWAForAgainst47% of IOWA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
ORE 2series1 IOWA| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | IOWA 84 | ORE 66 | IOWA+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2025 | ORE 80 | IOWA 78 | ORE+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2021 | ORE 95 | IOWA 80 | ORE+15 | +15 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | ORE10-20 · last 30 games | IOWA18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −10.2#281 of 361 | +15.2#25 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −5.3#250 of 361 | +12.5#32 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 113.7#86 of 361 | 105.8#284 of 361 | 109.9 |
| 1st half points against | 34.9#179 of 361 | 29.5#360 of 361 | 35.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.