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Michigan State (25-7 in 2025–26) hosts Rutgers (14-19 in 2025–26) on Feb 10, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
RUTG offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MSU defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
MSU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · RUTG defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
RUTGMSU
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
RUTGMSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Tariq Francis's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tariq Francis | 30.1 | 18.9 | 2.1 | 3.6 |
| Darren Buchanan Jr. | 27.7 | 9.2 | 4.3 | 1.9 |
| Jamichael Davis | 24.5 | 6.4 | 2.9 | 2.3 |
| Dylan Grant | 23.4 | 7.3 | 3.7 | 0.7 |
| Harun Zrno | 21.3 | 6.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Emmanuel Ogbole | 19.9 | 4.5 | 5.3 | 0.5 |
| Lino Mark | 19.5 | 8.6 | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| Kaden Powers | 17.2 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. | 33.7 | 18.9 | 1.9 | 9.6 |
| Coen Carr | 30.2 | 11.9 | 5.7 | 1.1 |
| Carson Cooper | 28.1 | 11.5 | 6.9 | 1.3 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 27.3 | 10.7 | 7.9 | 1.4 |
| Jordan Scott | 25.2 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Kur Teng | 18.9 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Divine Ugochukwu | 18.7 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| Cam Ward | 15.9 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 0.3 |
RUTG offenseper gameMSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
RUTGForAgainst44% of RUTG's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MSUForAgainst43% of MSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
RUTG 3series6 MSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | RUTG 87 | MSU 91 | MSU+4 | +4 |
| Jan 27, 2026 | MSU 88 | RUTG 79 | MSU+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | MSU 81 | RUTG 74 | MSU+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2024 | RUTG 55 | MSU 73 | MSU+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2023 | MSU 55 | RUTG 61 | RUTG+6 | +6 |
| Jan 19, 2023 | RUTG 57 | MSU 70 | MSU+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2022 | MSU 63 | RUTG 84 | RUTG+21 | +21 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2021 | MSU 37 | RUTG 67 | RUTG+30 | +30 |
| Jan 5, 2021 | RUTG 45 | MSU 68 | MSU+23 | +23 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | RUTG11-19 · last 30 games | MSU23-7 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −13.2#317 of 361 | +15.1#27 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −10.1#303 of 361 | +16.2#14 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 114.8#65 of 361 | 102.9#323 of 361 | 109.9 |
| 1st half points for | 30.3#336 of 361 | 37.0#80 of 361 | 34.8 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.