UCF (21-11 in 2025–26) hosts Houston (28-6 in 2025–26) on Feb 10, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
HOU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UCF defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
UCF offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · HOU defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin) · 1 even
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Kingston Flemings's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milos Uzan | 32.9 | 10.9 | 2.6 | 4.1 |
| Kingston Flemings | 32.6 | 15.5 | 4.7 | 5.1 |
| Emanuel Sharp | 29.7 | 14.3 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Chris Cenac Jr. | 25.7 | 9.8 | 7.3 | 0.7 |
| Joseph Tugler | 23.3 | 8.5 | 4.6 | 1.2 |
| Mercy Miller | 14.2 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 0.3 |
| Kalifa Sakho | 14.0 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 0.1 |
| Chase McCarty | 13.3 | 4.8 | 2.6 | 0.0 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Themus Fulks | 33.9 | 14.2 | 2.7 | 5.9 |
| Jordan Burks | 32.1 | 13.6 | 5.6 | 0.7 |
| Jamichael Stillwell | 30.2 | 10.8 | 8.1 | 2.9 |
| Riley Kugel | 29.3 | 14.2 | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| John Bol | 22.6 | 6.7 | 6.9 | 0.3 |
| Chris Johnson | 18.5 | 6.9 | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| Devan Cambridge | 16.1 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| Carmelo Pacheco | 14.0 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
49% of HOU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
46% of UCF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | HOU+24 | +24 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | HOU+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024 | HOU+8 | +8 | ||
| Jan 20, 2024 | HOU+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2023 | HOU+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | HOU+6 | +6 | ||
| Feb 17, 2022 | HOU+18 | +18 | ||
| Jan 29, 2022 | HOU+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2021 | HOU+17 | +17 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2020 | HOU+9 | +9 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | HOU24-6 · last 30 games | UCF20-10 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 64.4#337 of 361 | 70.3#59 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 67.4#350 of 361 | 76.8#79 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 99.1#353 of 361 | 110.3#176 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 49.0%#22 of 361 | 46.8%#171 of 361 | 46.8% |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.