Pittsburgh (13-20 in 2025–26) hosts Virginia (28-5 in 2025–26) on Feb 9, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UVA offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · PITT defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
PITT offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · UVA defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Cameron Corhen's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallin Hall | 29.5 | 5.7 | 3.2 | 4.3 |
| Thijs De Ridder | 27.7 | 14.6 | 6.1 | 1.6 |
| Sam Lewis | 26.3 | 11.9 | 3.6 | 1.3 |
| Chance Mallory | 23.8 | 8.7 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| Malik Thomas | 22.1 | 11.1 | 3.5 | 1.2 |
| Ugonna Onyenso | 20.5 | 6.9 | 5.9 | 0.7 |
| Johann Grunloh | 18.1 | 5.7 | 3.3 | 0.4 |
| Jacari White | 18.0 | 8.3 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Dunning Jr. | 36.5 | 13.0 | 6.9 | 1.1 |
| Cameron Corhen | 33.7 | 14.7 | 5.7 | 1.9 |
| Damarco Minor | 32.1 | 6.7 | 3.8 | 3.0 |
| Omari Witherspoon | 30.3 | 7.3 | 3.7 | 2.8 |
| Roman Siulepa | 30.3 | 11.1 | 6.9 | 1.2 |
| Brandin Cummings | 25.3 | 8.8 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Nojus Indrusaitis | 25.1 | 10.4 | 3.1 | 1.8 |
| Macari Moore | 7.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
47% of UVA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
44% of PITT's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | UVA+20 | +20 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2025 | UVA+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | PITT+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2023 | PITT+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2022 | UVA+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2021 | UVA+1 | +1 | ||
| Feb 6, 2021 | UVA+7 | +7 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UVA25-5 · last 30 games | PITT10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +5.0#26 of 361 | −2.7#318 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 103.2#318 of 361 | 113.6#89 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +14.8#20 of 361 | −4.6#238 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points for | 79.6#63 of 361 | 69.9#277 of 361 | 74.3 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.