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UC San Diego (21-11 in 2025–26) hosts Cal State Bakersfield (6-24 in 2025–26) on Feb 6, 2027, 9:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CSUB offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · UCSD defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
UCSD offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · CSUB defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
CSUBUCSD
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
CSUBUCSDNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Dailin Smith's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dailin Smith | 30.9 | 17.1 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| CJ Hardy | 28.8 | 8.8 | 2.5 | 3.5 |
| Ronald Jessamy | 27.2 | 15.1 | 7.0 | 1.4 |
| AJ George | 26.5 | 8.1 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Kadar Waller | 26.1 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 4.1 |
| Jaden Alexander | 25.3 | 17.0 | 3.3 | 1.0 |
| Tom Mark | 25.3 | 6.9 | 4.5 | 0.9 |
| Mike Price | 20.2 | 8.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Beattie | 32.3 | 10.3 | 5.1 | 3.3 |
| Leo Beath | 29.7 | 7.7 | 5.8 | 1.8 |
| Alex Chaikin | 29.1 | 8.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Hudson Mayes | 29.1 | 15.2 | 6.9 | 2.6 |
| Bol Dengdit | 24.1 | 11.3 | 5.4 | 1.7 |
| Jaden Vance | 18.5 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| Emanuel Prospere II | 16.3 | 7.1 | 2.7 | 2.6 |
| Aidan Burke | 15.3 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
CSUB offenseper gameUCSD defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
CSUBForAgainst45% of CSUB's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UCSDForAgainst46% of UCSD's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
CSUB 3series7 UCSD| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | CSUB 72 | UCSD 84 | UCSD+12 | +12 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UCSD 83 | CSUB 62 | UCSD+21 | +21 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2025 | UCSD 73 | CSUB 54 | UCSD+19 | +19 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | CSUB 60 | UCSD 81 | UCSD+21 | +21 |
| Feb 29, 2024 | UCSD 57 | CSUB 70 | CSUB+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2023 | CSUB 64 | UCSD 76 | UCSD+12 | +12 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | CSUB 75 | UCSD 69 | CSUB+6 | +6 |
| Jan 14, 2023 | UCSD 52 | CSUB 56 | CSUB+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | UCSD 72 | CSUB 70 | UCSD+2 | +2 |
| Jan 29, 2022 | CSUB 75 | UCSD 83 | UCSD+8 | +8 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CSUB6-24 · last 30 games | UCSD19-11 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points against | 40.2#13 of 361 | 31.8#318 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 116.2#38 of 361 | 102.4#327 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Scoring margin | −11.4#346 of 361 | +3.5#94 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −15.9#343 of 361 | +5.1#94 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.