UNC Wilmington (24-6 in 2025–26) hosts Hampton (11-19 in 2025–26) on Feb 6, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
HAMP offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UNCW defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
UNCW offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · HAMP defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Patrick Wessler's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xzavier Long | 35.9 | 9.9 | 8.5 | 1.6 |
| Jalyke Gaines-Wyatt | 27.4 | 12.2 | 1.3 | 2.9 |
| Daniel Johnson | 26.5 | 10.9 | 5.4 | 0.7 |
| Etienne Strothers | 20.3 | 8.1 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Kody Williams | 19.4 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 2.7 |
| Michael Eley | 17.9 | 12.7 | 3.0 | 0.7 |
| Josh Ogundele | 17.9 | 7.6 | 3.6 | 0.6 |
| Elijah Kennedy | 14.7 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Hodge | 33.5 | 12.9 | 4.7 | 1.6 |
| Greedy Williams | 32.4 | 10.7 | 2.7 | 4.5 |
| Christian May | 30.1 | 11.2 | 5.2 | 1.5 |
| Patrick Wessler | 30.0 | 15.3 | 10.4 | 1.3 |
| Noah Ross | 29.9 | 8.7 | 5.3 | 2.0 |
| Madison Durr | 19.5 | 8.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Jahnathan Lamothe | 16.1 | 6.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Makoi Mabor Makoi | 8.4 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 0.1 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
44% of HAMP's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
47% of UNCW's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | UNCW+8 | +8 | ||
| Jan 3, 2026 | UNCW+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | UNCW+14 | +14 | ||
| Feb 22, 2025 | HAMP+13 | +13 | ||
| Jan 25, 2025 | UNCW+21 | +21 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | UNCW+30 | +30 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | UNCW+17 | +17 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | HAMP11-19 · last 30 games | UNCW24-6 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin per 100 possessions | −6.2#263 of 361 | +11.5#39 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 103.5#296 of 361 | 115.0#75 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −10.9#296 of 361 | +10.3#76 of 361 | −0.5 |
| 1st half points for | 31.0#316 of 361 | 35.5#138 of 361 | 34.8 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.