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Florida Gulf Coast (14-17 in 2025–26) hosts Stetson (10-20 in 2025–26) on Feb 6, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
STET offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · FGCU defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
FGCU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · STET defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
STETFGCU
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
STETFGCUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Ethan Copeland's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Copeland | 35.3 | 17.7 | 4.3 | 2.5 |
| Jake Johnson | 32.7 | 10.3 | 2.9 | 1.9 |
| Collin Kuhl | 28.0 | 17.6 | 7.9 | 0.6 |
| Finley Sheridan | 27.5 | 9.7 | 5.0 | 1.9 |
| Calvin Sirmans III | 23.1 | 7.6 | 1.7 | 4.7 |
| Daniel Macgregor | 20.1 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 3.8 |
| Alex Doyle | 18.9 | 6.2 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| Matar Diop | 12.1 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.R. Konieczny | 33.6 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 2.7 |
| Rahmir Barno | 31.5 | 10.1 | 2.2 | 4.5 |
| Jordan Ellerbee | 29.6 | 12.9 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
| Michael Duax | 27.3 | 8.3 | 5.3 | 1.3 |
| Isaiah Malone | 26.1 | 12.3 | 6.1 | 0.5 |
| Rory Stewart | 19.8 | 5.1 | 3.2 | 0.5 |
| Darren Williams | 17.3 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Tristen Guillouette | 13.6 | 4.1 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
STET offenseper gameFGCU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
STETForAgainst48% of STET's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
FGCUForAgainst47% of FGCU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
STET 4series6 FGCU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | FGCU 63 | STET 78 | STET+15 | +15 |
| Feb 14, 2026 | STET 76 | FGCU 78 | FGCU+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2025 | FGCU 83 | STET 80 | FGCU+3 | +3 |
| Feb 1, 2025 | STET 56 | FGCU 82 | FGCU+26 | +26 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | FGCU 60 | STET 61 | STET+1 | +1 |
| Jan 20, 2024 | STET 56 | FGCU 80 | FGCU+24 | +24 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | STET 88 | FGCU 84 | STET+4 | +4 |
| Feb 15, 2023 | FGCU 72 | STET 75 | STET+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | STET 82 | FGCU 89 | FGCU+7 | +7 |
| Jan 18, 2022 | FGCU 93 | STET 91 | FGCU+2 | +2 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | STET10-20 · last 30 games | FGCU14-16 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 47.8%#104 of 361 | 44.4%#345 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 67.9#278 of 361 | 83.6#55 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −12.0#322 of 361 | +0.5#162 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 118.1#20 of 361 | 110.9#159 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.