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Abilene Christian (11-19 in 2025–26) hosts Tarleton State (10-18 in 2025–26) on Feb 6, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
TAR offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · ACU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
ACU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · TAR defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
TARACU
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
TARACUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Dior Johnson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam McDowell | 31.4 | 17.4 | 3.4 | 1.6 |
| Jordan Mizell | 30.3 | 6.3 | 4.1 | 2.1 |
| Dior Johnson | 27.6 | 24.3 | 4.6 | 1.7 |
| Kaia Isaac | 25.3 | 6.2 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Leroy Kelly IV | 23.4 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 1.4 |
| Ocypher Owens | 21.6 | 5.3 | 4.2 | 0.7 |
| Freddy Hicks | 20.6 | 5.4 | 3.4 | 1.2 |
| DJ Dormu | 20.4 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 2.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rich Smith | 30.0 | 9.3 | 4.9 | 4.5 |
| Bradyn Hubbard | 29.7 | 16.6 | 4.2 | 0.9 |
| Cbo Newton | 29.5 | 12.5 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Yaniel Rivera | 25.8 | 7.3 | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| Joseph Venzant | 24.9 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 0.8 |
| Cade Hornecker | 16.9 | 5.4 | 3.9 | 1.1 |
| Zy Wright | 16.8 | 5.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| Christian Alston | 11.9 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 0.4 |
TAR offenseper gameACU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
TARForAgainst45% of TAR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
ACUForAgainst44% of ACU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
TAR 6series4 ACU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | TAR 78 | ACU 84 | ACU+6 | +6 |
| Feb 16, 2026 | ACU 62 | TAR 65 | TAR+3 | +3 |
| Feb 14, 2026 | TAR 59 | ACU 73 | ACU+14 | +14 |
| Jan 8, 2026 | ACU 84 | TAR 80 | ACU+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | ACU 52 | TAR 67 | TAR+15 | +15 |
| Jan 23, 2025 | TAR 56 | ACU 67 | ACU+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2024 | ACU 59 | TAR 86 | TAR+27 | +27 |
| Feb 1, 2024 | TAR 76 | ACU 73 | TAR+3 | +3 |
| Jan 18, 2024 | ACU 71 | TAR 79 | TAR+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | ACU 63 | TAR 72 | TAR+9 | +9 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | TAR10-20 · last 30 games | ACU11-19 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 47.2%#151 of 361 | 48.9%#32 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 71.8#195 of 361 | 71.5#286 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Possessions per game | 69.9#77 of 361 | 68.4#160 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −4.8#243 of 361 | −8.7#290 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.