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UAlbany (8-21 in 2025–26) hosts UMBC (22-8 in 2025–26) on Feb 6, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UMBC offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UALB defense in 1
UALB offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · UMBC defense in 4 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UMBCUALB
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UMBCUALBNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Amir Lindsey's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Valentine | 33.1 | 13.3 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| DJ Armstrong Jr. | 31.6 | 13.2 | 3.1 | 1.5 |
| Jah'Likai King | 31.0 | 12.5 | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn | 24.3 | 8.1 | 8.6 | 0.9 |
| Josh Odunowo | 23.4 | 10.3 | 5.3 | 1.0 |
| Caden Diggs | 21.8 | 9.6 | 3.7 | 1.0 |
| Riley Jacobs | 12.7 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 0.3 |
| Cougar Downing | 11.5 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Lindsey | 39.5 | 18.7 | 3.7 | 5.3 |
| Jaden Kempson | 34.9 | 10.4 | 5.9 | 2.9 |
| Okechukwu Okeke | 33.7 | 11.7 | 8.3 | 0.5 |
| Abdoulaye Fall | 33.6 | 11.2 | 4.0 | 1.6 |
| Zacharie Matulu | 29.9 | 10.1 | 6.9 | 1.9 |
| Isaac Abidde | 26.4 | 10.5 | 3.8 | 0.7 |
| Tarique Foster | 24.6 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.3 |
| Miles Rose | 19.1 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
UMBC offenseper gameUALB defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UMBCForAgainst48% of UMBC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UALBForAgainst48% of UALB's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UMBC 7series3 UALB| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | UALB 62 | UMBC 66 | UMBC+4 | +4 |
| Jan 31, 2026 | UMBC 68 | UALB 65 | UMBC+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | UALB 78 | UMBC 74 | UALB+4 | +4 |
| Jan 23, 2025 | UMBC 92 | UALB 87 | UMBC+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | UALB 75 | UMBC 80 | UMBC+5 | +5 |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UMBC 114 | UALB 102 | UMBC+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | UMBC 74 | UALB 81 | UALB+7 | +7 |
| Jan 5, 2023 | UALB 83 | UMBC 92 | UMBC+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2022 | UMBC 59 | UALB 53 | UMBC+6 | +6 |
| Jan 19, 2022 | UALB 66 | UMBC 54 | UALB+12 | +12 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UMBC22-8 · last 30 games | UALB8-22 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 102.4#328 of 361 | 114.8#64 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +11.2#40 of 361 | −9.3#295 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | +7.5#45 of 361 | −6.1#291 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 75.5#101 of 361 | 71.7#285 of 361 | 74.3 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.