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Virginia (28-5 in 2025–26) hosts Duke (32-2 in 2025–26) on Feb 6, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
DUKE offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UVA defense in 1
UVA offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · DUKE defense in 4 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
DUKEUVA
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
DUKEUVANo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Cameron Boozer's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer | 34.1 | 21.0 | 10.6 | 4.3 |
| Isaiah Evans | 28.3 | 15.5 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Dame Sarr | 26.5 | 6.5 | 4.1 | 1.3 |
| Caleb Foster | 25.8 | 7.7 | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| Cayden Boozer | 23.4 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| Maliq Brown | 21.7 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 1.8 |
| Patrick Ngongba II | 21.6 | 10.1 | 5.8 | 1.8 |
| Nikolas Khamenia | 20.3 | 6.3 | 3.8 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallin Hall | 29.5 | 5.7 | 3.2 | 4.3 |
| Thijs De Ridder | 27.7 | 14.6 | 6.1 | 1.6 |
| Sam Lewis | 26.3 | 11.9 | 3.6 | 1.3 |
| Chance Mallory | 23.8 | 8.7 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| Malik Thomas | 22.1 | 11.1 | 3.5 | 1.2 |
| Ugonna Onyenso | 20.5 | 6.9 | 5.9 | 0.7 |
| Johann Grunloh | 18.1 | 5.7 | 3.3 | 0.4 |
| Jacari White | 18.0 | 8.3 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
DUKE offenseper gameUVA defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
DUKEForAgainst52% of DUKE's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UVAForAgainst47% of UVA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
DUKE 7series2 UVA| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | UVA 70 | DUKE 74 | DUKE+4 | +4 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | UVA 51 | DUKE 77 | DUKE+26 | +26 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2025 | DUKE 80 | UVA 62 | DUKE+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | UVA 48 | DUKE 73 | DUKE+25 | +25 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | DUKE 59 | UVA 49 | DUKE+10 | +10 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | DUKE 62 | UVA 69 | UVA+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2022 | DUKE 65 | UVA 61 | DUKE+4 | +4 |
| Feb 7, 2022 | UVA 69 | DUKE 68 | UVA+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2021 | UVA 65 | DUKE 66 | DUKE+1 | +1 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | DUKE28-2 · last 30 games | UVA25-5 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 48.7%#37 of 361 | 44.6%#342 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 50.6%#2 of 361 | 47.8%#84 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Possessions per game | 65.5#296 of 361 | 67.5#214 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 97.2#359 of 361 | 103.2#318 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.