Central Connecticut (14-12 in 2025–26) hosts Stonehill (9-20 in 2025–26) on Feb 6, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
STO offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · CCSU defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
CCSU offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · STO defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Darin Smith Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hermann Koffi | 36.6 | 10.7 | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| Davante Hackett | 30.7 | 14.9 | 4.3 | 1.8 |
| Chas Stinson | 30.7 | 12.6 | 5.3 | 1.5 |
| Rex Sunderland | 27.9 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 3.1 |
| Ridvan Tutic | 23.4 | 6.6 | 8.1 | 0.6 |
| Ethan Meuser | 22.9 | 7.4 | 6.1 | 1.5 |
| Raymond Espinal-Guzman | 19.7 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| Trenton Ruth | 11.0 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darin Smith Jr. | 34.3 | 20.5 | 5.6 | 1.2 |
| Max Frazier | 30.9 | 12.1 | 7.9 | 0.9 |
| Jay Rodgers | 30.1 | 11.3 | 2.0 | 5.7 |
| James Jones | 29.4 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 0.7 |
| Melo Sanchez | 26.8 | 9.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Daniel James | 15.7 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 0.4 |
| Elijah Parker | 14.9 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Roddy Jones | 11.1 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
43% of STO's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
47% of CCSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | STO+2 | +2 | ||
| Jan 8, 2026 | CCSU+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | CCSU+26 | +26 | ||
| Feb 1, 2025 | CCSU+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | CCSU+12 | +12 | ||
| Jan 4, 2024 | CCSU+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | CCSU+4 | +4 | ||
| Jan 7, 2023 | STO+2 | +2 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | STO9-21 · last 30 games | CCSU18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 69.6#333 of 361 | 74.9#121 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 44.7%#338 of 361 | 47.3%#131 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 93.9#357 of 361 | 108.1#205 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −10.2#305 of 361 | −0.7#181 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Feb 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.