Michigan vs Wisconsin Odds, Stats & Props

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What to know

Scoring margin

MICH +17.6 · WIS +7.1

Points scored minus allowed a game, 2025–26. Each team's own average, not a forecast.

Form

MICH 9-1 · WIS 6-4

Each team's record over its last ten games.

Rest

MICH 6d · WIS 2d

Days off before this game, from the schedule.

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory

ranks betterranks worseStronger72+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 361 (#1 = best)

MICH offensevsWIS defense

MICH offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · WIS defense in 1

Shooting · effective FG%

58.1%

#9Stronger

51.3%

#175

Turnovers · per 100 plays

14.6%

#181Stronger

12.8%

#309

Offensive rebounding %

35.4%

#42slight

28.2%

#77

Free throw rate

28.2%

#92

22.2%

slight#78

WIS offensevsMICH defense

WIS offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MICH defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

54.5%

#56

44.7%

slight#2

Turnovers · per 100 plays

11.2%

#5Stronger

13.6%

#250

Offensive rebounding %

29.4%

#222

27.7%

Stronger#60

Free throw rate

25.1%

#197

19.7%

Stronger#24

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesHistory

MICHWIS

+24.8 3rdNet rating54th +10.2

122.4 10thOffensive rating26th 120.0

97.6 8thDefensive rating181st 109.7

70.9 44thPace115th 69.2

Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

WIS turnovers
WIS offense 11.2% (5th) vs MICH defense allowing 13.6% (250th)
+245 spots
MICH scoring
MICH offense 86.8 (8th) vs WIS defense allowing 75.9 (214th)
+206 spots
MICH 2-point shooting
MICH offense 61.0% (5th) vs WIS defense allowing 52.3% (207th)
+202 spots
MICH effective shooting
MICH offense 58.1% (9th) vs WIS defense allowing 51.3% (175th)
+166 spots
WIS scoring
WIS offense 83.0 (27th) vs MICH defense allowing 69.2 (50th)
+23 spots

ContextHistory

last 10 days

MICH

OSU

WIS

6 days rest

WIS

MINN

ORE

MICH

2 days rest

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

MICH · last 10

31-3 · 305 days rest

Apr 6 vs CONN2025–26W 69–63
Apr 4 @ ARIZ2025–26W 91–73
Mar 29 vs TENN2025–26W 95–62
Mar 27 vs ALA2025–26W 90–77
Mar 21 vs SLU2025–26W 95–72
Mar 19 vs HOW2025–26W 101–80
Mar 15 vs PUR2025–26L 72–80
Mar 14 vs WIS2025–26W 68–65
Mar 13 vs OSU2025–26W 71–67
Mar 8 vs MSU2025–26W 90–80

9-1 in these

WIS · last 10

24-10 · 323 days rest

Mar 19 vs HPU2025–26L 82–83
Mar 14 @ MICH2025–26L 65–68
Mar 13 @ ILL2025–26W 91–88
Mar 12 vs WASH2025–26W 85–82
Mar 7 @ PUR2025–26W 97–93
Mar 4 vs MD2025–26W 78–45
Feb 28 @ WASH2025–26W 90–73
Feb 25 @ ORE2025–26L 71–85
Feb 22 vs IOWA2025–26W 84–71
Feb 17 @ OSU2025–26L 69–86

6-4 in these

Player props

No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number

Michigan Wolverines

Wisconsin Badgers

Nick Boyd

WIS vs MICH

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Points No line yet

MICH at WIS

Full breakdown

Nick Boyd's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…

the game-by-game chart
hit-rate splits and filters
the what-if line and market curve
every book and the line history

MICH rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Yaxel Lendeborg	33.9	14.8	6.7	3.3
Elliot Cadeau	28.9	10.1	2.3	6.1
Morez Johnson Jr.	27.2	12.4	7.6	1.1
Aday Mara	23.4	12.5	6.7	2.3
Trey McKenney	23.1	9.1	2.5	0.9
Nimari Burnett	19.1	7.8	2.3	0.9
Roddy Gayle Jr.	18.9	4.4	2.9	0.8
L.J. Cason	18.1	9.9	1.4	2.7

WIS rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
John Blackwell	35.8	19.7	5.1	2.4
Nick Boyd	35.5	22.0	4.0	5.0
Nolan Winter	33.0	11.5	8.3	1.1
Andrew Rohde	28.4	4.4	2.0	2.9
Austin Rapp	23.8	10.6	4.5	1.3
Braeden Carrington	22.7	9.9	2.7	1.3
Aleksas Bieliauskas	22.5	5.3	4.7	1.0
Jack Janicki	13.7	1.0	1.3	1.0

Team rankings (2025–26)History

MICH offenseper gameWIS defense

Effective FG%

9th58.1%

51.3%175th

Turnover %

181st14.6%

12.8%309th

Offensive rebound %

42nd35.4%

28.2%77th

Free throw rate

92nd28.2%

22.2%78th

Points

8th86.8

75.9214th

Field goal %

6th50.5%

44.7%174th

2-point %

5th61.0%

52.3%207th

3-point %

57th36.0%

33.3%133rd

Free throw %

93rd74.7%

72.9%212th

Rebounds

14th40.0

34.8187th

Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.

Scoring by halfHistory

per game, last 17 games · the tick is the league's average team

MICHForAgainst

1st half

39.8

35.4

2nd half

42.6

35.4

Game

82.4

70.8

48% of MICH's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

WISForAgainst

1st half

37.6

34.5

2nd half

44.8

42.1

Game

82.4

76.6

46% of WIS's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.

SeriesHistory

10 meetings

MICH 7series3 WIS

Last 10MWMMMMWWMM

Avg total

138.1

combined points

Avg margin

MICH 3.3

per meeting

Biggest win

MICH +23

Jan 12, 2021

Last meeting

MICH won

Mar 14, 2026

Every meetingHistory

2026MICH 1-1 WIS

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 14, 2026	WIS 65	MICH 68	MICH+3	+3
Jan 10, 2026	WIS 91	MICH 88	WIS+3	+3

2025MICH 1-0 WIS

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 16, 2025	WIS 53	MICH 59	MICH+6	+6

2024MICH 2-0 WIS

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Dec 3, 2024	MICH 67	WIS 64	MICH+3	+3
Feb 7, 2024	WIS 68	MICH 72	MICH+4	+4

2023MICH 1-1 WIS

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 26, 2023	WIS 79	MICH 87	MICH+8	+8
Feb 14, 2023	MICH 59	WIS 64	WIS+5	+5

2022MICH 0-1 WIS

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 20, 2022	MICH 63	WIS 77	WIS+14	+14

2021MICH 2-0 WIS

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 14, 2021	MICH 67	WIS 59	MICH+8	+8
Jan 12, 2021	WIS 54	MICH 77	MICH+23	+23

Measure	MICH27-3 · last 30 games	WIS20-10 · last 30 games	League
2nd half points against	35.7#334 of 361	42.8#45 of 361	39.7
Points allowed per 100 possessions	98.4#354 of 361	111.8#142 of 361	109.9
Share of points scored in the 1st half	49.8%#7 of 361	46.8%#174 of 361	46.8%
Margin per 100 possessions	+25.0#3 of 361	+6.2#78 of 361	−0.7

Measure	MICH27-3 · last 30 games	WIS20-10 · last 30 games	League
2nd half points against	35.7#334 of 361	42.8#45 of 361	39.7
Points allowed per 100 possessions	98.4#354 of 361	111.8#142 of 361	109.9
Share of points scored in the 1st half	49.8%#7 of 361	46.8%#174 of 361	46.8%
Margin per 100 possessions	+25.0#3 of 361	+6.2#78 of 361	−0.7

Michigan vs Wisconsin — College Basketball, Feb 6, 2027

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What to know

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory