South Dakota (12-16 in 2025–26) hosts Kansas City (1-26 in 2025–26) on Feb 4, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
KC offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · SDAK defense in 4 (2 by a clear margin)
SDAK offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · KC defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 71 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Isaac Bruns's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karmello Branch | 31.0 | 11.1 | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| Jayson Petty | 30.7 | 10.4 | 3.8 | 1.8 |
| CJ Evans | 30.4 | 11.2 | 2.3 | 3.4 |
| Kasheem Grady II | 26.2 | 10.6 | 3.6 | 1.1 |
| Chris Dockery | 24.8 | 8.4 | 5.5 | 1.1 |
| Jerome Palm | 23.0 | 5.7 | 4.9 | 1.0 |
| Addarin Scott | 13.6 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 0.5 |
| Jamaria Clark | 13.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Crawford | 36.7 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| Uzziah Buntyn | 34.8 | 14.5 | 2.9 | 3.5 |
| Isaac Bruns | 34.0 | 21.0 | 5.7 | 1.7 |
| Vince Buzelis | 31.3 | 10.0 | 5.3 | 2.1 |
| Silas Bennion | 29.5 | 4.8 | 2.7 | 3.1 |
| Cameron Fens | 29.2 | 18.1 | 10.5 | 1.4 |
| Ethan Kizer | 16.2 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 0.2 |
| Jesse McIntosh | 15.7 | 7.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
46% of KC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
46% of SDAK's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | SDAK+7 | +7 | ||
| Jan 15, 2026 | SDAK+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2025 | SDAK+7 | +7 | ||
| Jan 2, 2025 | KC+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | KC+4 | +4 | ||
| Jan 27, 2024 | KC+24 | +24 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | SDAK+34 | +34 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | KC+17 | +17 | ||
| Mar 6, 2022 | SDAK+13 | +13 | ||
| Feb 24, 2022 | KC+9 | +9 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | KC2-28 · last 30 games | SDAK13-17 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points for | 35.8#325 of 361 | 41.8#78 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −19.1#351 of 361 | +3.7#192 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 95.1#355 of 361 | 108.4#201 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −22.9#357 of 361 | −6.8#271 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.