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Cal State Fullerton (16-16 in 2025–26) hosts Cal Poly (12-19 in 2025–26) on Feb 4, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CP offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · CSUF defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
CSUF offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · CP defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
CPCSUF
Expected pace: about 75 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
CPCSUFNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Hamad Mousa's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamad Mousa | 31.8 | 18.7 | 6.0 | 1.9 |
| Peter Bandelj | 30.8 | 10.8 | 3.9 | 3.3 |
| Cayden Ward | 29.7 | 13.7 | 7.0 | 2.1 |
| Guzman Vasilic | 23.9 | 8.8 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| Austin Goode | 20.4 | 7.5 | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| Jake Davis | 17.5 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Jess Esso Essis | 17.4 | 8.6 | 3.6 | 1.0 |
| Luka Tarlac | 14.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Ward | 30.1 | 14.7 | 4.5 | 3.9 |
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro | 28.0 | 10.6 | 5.4 | 2.4 |
| Christian Williams | 24.4 | 9.0 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| Bryce Cofield | 20.5 | 6.9 | 4.3 | 2.1 |
| Bailey Nunn | 20.4 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Landon Seaman | 20.0 | 10.5 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| Kendrick De Luna | 18.3 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| KJ Garris | 16.0 | 8.4 | 3.5 | 0.6 |
CP offenseper gameCSUF defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
CPForAgainst47% of CP's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
CSUFForAgainst44% of CSUF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
CP 4series6 CSUF| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | CSUF 93 | CP 78 | CSUF+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | CP 94 | CSUF 91 | CP+3 | +3 |
| Mar 6, 2025 | CSUF 61 | CP 100 | CP+39 | +39 |
| Feb 13, 2025 | CP 98 | CSUF 83 | CP+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | CP 50 | CSUF 68 | CSUF+18 | +18 |
| Jan 25, 2024 | CSUF 54 | CP 51 | CSUF+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | CP 62 | CSUF 83 | CSUF+21 | +21 |
| Jan 28, 2023 | CSUF 65 | CP 36 | CSUF+29 | +29 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2022 | CP 50 | CSUF 61 | CSUF+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2021 | CP 87 | CSUF 82 | CP+5 | +5 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CP12-18 · last 30 games | CSUF16-14 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 47.0%#157 of 361 | 43.9%#351 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 112.7#115 of 361 | 109.6#195 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 48.1%#75 of 361 | 47.2%#143 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −4.1#234 of 361 | −1.0#190 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.