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Northern Kentucky (17-14 in 2025–26) hosts Youngstown State (12-17 in 2025–26) on Feb 4, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
YSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · NKU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
NKU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · YSU defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
YSUNKU
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
YSUNKUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Donovan Oday's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cris Carroll | 32.6 | 17.4 | 5.8 | 2.1 |
| Bryson Dawkins | 29.7 | 14.0 | 4.6 | 1.7 |
| Jason Nelson | 27.5 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 3.2 |
| Rich Rolf | 26.3 | 7.5 | 4.6 | 2.5 |
| Jaiden Haynes | 21.6 | 7.0 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| Cam Polak | 17.3 | 5.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Vlad Salaridze | 16.5 | 9.3 | 3.8 | 1.5 |
| Tae Blackshear | 15.8 | 8.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tae Dozier | 32.4 | 9.3 | 6.3 | 2.5 |
| Donovan Oday | 32.1 | 20.3 | 3.7 | 2.2 |
| Ethan Elliott | 31.2 | 4.9 | 3.7 | 4.4 |
| LJ Wells | 31.2 | 17.9 | 6.0 | 2.5 |
| Dan Gherezgher | 28.9 | 15.9 | 3.7 | 3.2 |
| Kael Robinson | 26.7 | 12.3 | 4.6 | 0.6 |
| Shawn Nelson | 12.4 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| Donovan Rakotonanahary | 10.3 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.2 |
YSU offenseper gameNKU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
YSUForAgainst47% of YSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NKUForAgainst46% of NKU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
YSU 4series6 NKU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | NKU 58 | YSU 64 | YSU+6 | +6 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | YSU 79 | NKU 94 | NKU+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | YSU 79 | NKU 88 | NKU+9 | +9 |
| Jan 8, 2025 | NKU 61 | YSU 72 | YSU+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2024 | NKU 52 | YSU 82 | YSU+30 | +30 |
| Jan 4, 2024 | YSU 76 | NKU 79 | NKU+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2023 | NKU 75 | YSU 63 | NKU+12 | +12 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | NKU 56 | YSU 74 | YSU+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2022 | YSU 73 | NKU 77 | NKU+4 | +4 |
| Feb 26, 2022 | YSU 61 | NKU 75 | NKU+14 | +14 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | YSU12-18 · last 30 games | NKU17-13 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 68.2#178 of 361 | 70.7#42 of 361 | 68.0 |
| 2nd half points for | 39.7#167 of 361 | 43.3#35 of 361 | 39.5 |
| 1st half points against | 34.0#229 of 361 | 35.9#126 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 110.3#151 of 361 | 115.5#70 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.