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SMU (20-13 in 2025–26) hosts California (20-11 in 2025–26) on Feb 3, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CAL offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · SMU defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
SMU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · CAL defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
CALSMU
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
CALSMUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jaron Pierre Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Camden | 33.3 | 14.5 | 4.9 | 1.5 |
| Dai Dai Ames | 32.6 | 16.5 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| Justin Pippen | 31.7 | 13.9 | 4.3 | 4.9 |
| Chris Bell | 28.6 | 12.9 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| Lee Dort | 22.6 | 8.1 | 9.1 | 0.5 |
| Milos Ilic | 21.5 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 1.4 |
| DeJuan Campbell | 14.4 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| Semetri Carr | 14.0 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boopie Miller | 35.5 | 17.9 | 4.1 | 6.0 |
| Jaron Pierre Jr. | 34.6 | 18.2 | 4.9 | 2.7 |
| B.J. Edwards | 30.7 | 11.6 | 6.5 | 4.2 |
| Samet Yigitoglu | 28.5 | 10.5 | 7.7 | 1.8 |
| Corey Washington | 27.2 | 11.1 | 4.3 | 1.0 |
| Jaden Toombs | 19.8 | 7.5 | 4.6 | 1.4 |
| Jermaine O'Neal Jr. | 16.7 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 0.2 |
| Sam Walters | 8.7 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
CAL offenseper gameSMU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
CALForAgainst47% of CAL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
SMUForAgainst47% of SMU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
CAL 1series2 SMU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | SMU 69 | CAL 73 | CAL+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2025 | SMU 81 | CAL 77 | SMU+4 | +4 |
| Jan 29, 2025 | CAL 65 | SMU 76 | SMU+11 | +11 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CAL19-11 · last 30 games | SMU17-13 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points against | 34.4#217 of 361 | 37.2#74 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 106.9#261 of 361 | 110.8#161 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Points for | 77.1#111 of 361 | 83.7#19 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 111.7#120 of 361 | 119.1#28 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.