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NC State (20-13 in 2025–26) hosts Florida State (18-15 in 2025–26) on Feb 3, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
FSU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · NCSU defense in 1
NCSU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · FSU defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
FSUNCSU
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
FSUNCSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Robert McCray V's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lajae Jones | 32.9 | 14.7 | 6.7 | 1.3 |
| Robert McCray V | 30.0 | 19.6 | 3.9 | 5.5 |
| Chauncey Wiggins | 29.1 | 14.6 | 3.5 | 0.8 |
| Martin Somerville | 26.7 | 6.3 | 2.6 | 3.3 |
| Thomas Bassong | 24.1 | 6.1 | 4.0 | 0.5 |
| Alex Steen | 22.6 | 6.7 | 5.8 | 1.1 |
| AJ Swinton | 18.5 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| Kobe MaGee | 14.3 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadir Copeland | 31.4 | 14.1 | 3.7 | 7.3 |
| Paul McNeil Jr. | 30.6 | 13.9 | 2.9 | 0.7 |
| Darrion Williams | 30.5 | 13.3 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
| Ven-Allen Lubin | 30.0 | 15.3 | 7.7 | 0.6 |
| Tre Holloman | 26.7 | 8.5 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| Matt Able | 23.5 | 9.6 | 3.7 | 0.8 |
| Terrance Arceneaux | 17.0 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 0.4 |
| Musa Sagnia | 9.6 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.0 |
FSU offenseper gameNCSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
FSUForAgainst49% of FSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NCSUForAgainst46% of NCSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
FSU 4series3 NCSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | NCSU 113 | FSU 69 | NCSU+44 | +44 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | FSU 74 | NCSU 84 | NCSU+10 | +10 |
| Feb 27, 2024 | NCSU 83 | FSU 90 | FSU+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2023 | FSU 66 | NCSU 94 | NCSU+28 | +28 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | NCSU 76 | FSU 89 | FSU+13 | +13 |
| Jan 1, 2022 | FSU 83 | NCSU 81 | FSU+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2021 | NCSU 73 | FSU 105 | FSU+32 | +32 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | FSU16-14 · last 30 games | NCSU17-13 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 48.2%#62 of 361 | 46.4%#220 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 46.7%#198 of 361 | 45.0%#327 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +0.6#159 of 361 | +5.7#84 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 112.0#115 of 361 | 117.7#45 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.