Villanova vs UConn Odds, Stats & Props — Feb 3

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Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.

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What to know

Scoring margin

VILL +5.9 · CONN +12.4

Points scored minus allowed a game, 2025–26. Each team's own average, not a forecast.

Form

VILL 6-4 · CONN 7-3

Each team's record over its last ten games.

Rest

VILL 6d · CONN 4d

Days off before this game, from the schedule.

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory

ranks betterranks worseStronger72+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 361 (#1 = best)

VILL offensevsCONN defense

VILL offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · CONN defense in 3

Shooting · effective FG%

53.7%

#75

45.7%

slight#8

Turnovers · per 100 plays

13.1%

#60slight

15.8%

#94

Offensive rebounding %

31.6%

#138

28.7%

slight#94

Free throw rate

21.6%

#303

28.9%

slight#289

CONN offensevsVILL defense

CONN offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · VILL defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

55.3%

#33Stronger

50.9%

#150

Turnovers · per 100 plays

14.4%

#166

16.1%

Stronger#78

Offensive rebounding %

35.7%

#33Stronger

32.1%

#258

Free throw rate

21.5%

#305

20.6%

Stronger#43

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesHistory

VILLCONN

+8.9 64thNet rating11th +18.8

115.1 69thOffensive rating49th 117.7

106.2 92ndDefensive rating14th 98.9

66.6 261stPace289th 65.8

Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

CONN offensive rebounding
CONN offense 35.7% (33rd) vs VILL defense allowing 32.1% (258th)
+225 spots
CONN 2-point shooting
CONN offense 57.1% (32nd) vs VILL defense allowing 51.2% (151st)
+119 spots
CONN effective shooting
CONN offense 55.3% (33rd) vs VILL defense allowing 50.9% (150th)
+117 spots
VILL turnovers
VILL offense 13.1% (60th) vs CONN defense allowing 15.8% (94th)
+34 spots

ContextHistory

last 10 days

VILL

CREI

CONN

6 days rest

CONN

GTWN

SJU

VILL

4 days rest

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

VILL · last 10

23-8 · 319 days rest

Mar 20 vs USU2025–26L 76–86
Mar 12 vs GTWN2025–26L 64–78
Mar 7 vs XAV2025–26W 91–78
Mar 4 @ DEP2025–26W 76–57
Feb 28 @ SJU2025–26L 57–89
Feb 25 vs BTLR2025–26W 82–73
Feb 21 vs CONN2025–26L 63–73
Feb 17 @ XAV2025–26W 92–89
Feb 14 @ CREI2025–26W 80–69
Feb 10 vs MARQ2025–26W 77–74

6-4 in these

CONN · last 10

29-5 · 302 days rest

Apr 6 @ MICH2025–26L 63–69
Apr 4 vs ILL2025–26W 71–62
Mar 29 @ DUKE2025–26W 73–72
Mar 27 vs MSU2025–26W 67–63
Mar 22 vs UCLA2025–26W 73–57
Mar 20 vs FUR2025–26W 82–71
Mar 14 @ SJU2025–26L 52–72
Mar 13 vs GTWN2025–26W 67–51
Mar 12 vs XAV2025–26W 93–68
Mar 7 @ MARQ2025–26L 62–68

7-3 in these

Player props

No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number

Villanova Wildcats

UConn Huskies

Tyler Perkins

VILL vs CONN

Player page →

Points No line yet

VILL at CONN

Full breakdown

Tyler Perkins's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…

the game-by-game chart
hit-rate splits and filters
the what-if line and market curve
every book and the line history

VILL rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Duke Brennan	33.1	12.3	9.9	2.3
Tyler Perkins	32.6	16.2	6.0	1.5
Acaden Lewis	31.0	11.9	2.6	5.1
Bryce Lindsay	26.7	8.2	1.5	1.9
Matt Hodge	25.3	7.3	2.8	0.6
Devin Askew	24.0	10.9	2.7	2.2
Malachi Palmer	22.7	6.1	2.3	0.7
Chris Jeffrey	7.1	2.4	0.8	1.1

CONN rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Alex Karaban	34.1	11.5	5.2	2.7
Silas Demary Jr.	32.3	11.8	4.9	6.3
Solo Ball	29.1	12.8	2.9	1.8
Braylon Mullins	28.8	12.3	3.3	1.2
Tarris Reed Jr.	26.5	13.0	8.3	2.7
Jayden Ross	17.9	4.7	2.4	1.2
Eric Reibe	13.6	6.5	3.5	0.6
Jaylin Stewart	12.1	2.7	1.7	0.6

Team rankings (2025–26)History

VILL offenseper gameCONN defense

Effective FG%

75th53.7%

45.7%8th

Turnover %

60th13.1%

15.8%94th

Offensive rebound %

138th31.6%

28.7%94th

Free throw rate

303rd21.6%

28.9%289th

Points

129th76.6

65.17th

Field goal %

128th45.5%

40.2%13th

2-point %

86th54.0%

45.8%12th

3-point %

84th35.6%

30.3%13th

Free throw %

289th69.3%

71.9%147th

Rebounds

208th34.2

30.916th

Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.

Scoring by halfHistory

per game, last 17 games · the tick is the league's average team

VILLForAgainst

1st half

36.3

32.5

2nd half

40.0

42.0

Game

76.3

74.5

48% of VILL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

CONNForAgainst

1st half

36.8

33.6

2nd half

35.8

33.4

Game

72.6

67.1

51% of CONN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.

SeriesHistory

10 meetings

VILL 2series8 CONN

Last 10CCCCVCCCCV

Avg total

132.2

combined points

Avg margin

CONN 8.2

per meeting

Biggest win

CONN +24

Feb 24, 2024

Last meeting

CONN won

Feb 21, 2026

Every meetingHistory

2026VILL 0-2 CONN

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 21, 2026	CONN 73	VILL 63	CONN+10	+10
Jan 24, 2026	VILL 67	CONN 75	CONN+8	+8

2025VILL 1-2 CONN

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 13, 2025	VILL 56	CONN 73	CONN+17	+17
Feb 18, 2025	VILL 59	CONN 66	CONN+7	+7
Jan 8, 2025	CONN 66	VILL 68	VILL+2	+2

2024VILL 0-2 CONN

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 24, 2024	VILL 54	CONN 78	CONN+24	+24
Jan 20, 2024	CONN 66	VILL 65	CONN+1	+1

2023VILL 0-1 CONN

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 4, 2023	CONN 71	VILL 59	CONN+12	+12

2022VILL 1-1 CONN

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Dec 28, 2022	VILL 66	CONN 74	CONN+8	+8
Mar 11, 2022	CONN 60	VILL 63	VILL+3	+3

Measure	VILL23-7 · last 30 games	CONN25-5 · last 30 games	League
Share of points allowed in the 1st half	45.5%#294 of 361	47.8%#99 of 361	46.9%
Share of points scored in the 1st half	47.2%#132 of 361	49.8%#6 of 361	46.8%
Points allowed per 100 possessions	106.2#275 of 361	100.3#342 of 361	109.9
Possessions per game	66.5#255 of 361	65.3#306 of 361	68.0

Measure	VILL23-7 · last 30 games	CONN25-5 · last 30 games	League
Share of points allowed in the 1st half	45.5%#294 of 361	47.8%#99 of 361	46.9%
Share of points scored in the 1st half	47.2%#132 of 361	49.8%#6 of 361	46.8%
Points allowed per 100 possessions	106.2#275 of 361	100.3#342 of 361	109.9
Possessions per game	66.5#255 of 361	65.3#306 of 361	68.0

Villanova vs UConn — College Basketball, Feb 3, 2027

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What to know

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory