Ohio vs Buffalo Odds, Stats & Props — Feb 2

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Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.

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What to know

Scoring margin

OHIO −3.3 · BUF +0.5

Points scored minus allowed a game, 2025–26. Each team's own average, not a forecast.

Form

OHIO 4-6 · BUF 3-7

Each team's record over its last ten games.

Rest

OHIO 2d · BUF 2d

Days off before this game, from the schedule.

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory

ranks betterranks worseStronger72+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 361 (#1 = best)

OHIO offensevsBUF defense

OHIO offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · BUF defense in 3

Shooting · effective FG%

50.9%

#195Stronger

55.1%

#330

Turnovers · per 100 plays

13.6%

#107

15.7%

slight#103

Offensive rebounding %

28.4%

#249

31.1%

slight#208

Free throw rate

26.2%

#149

23.3%

slight#106

BUF offensevsOHIO defense

BUF offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · OHIO defense in 0

Shooting · effective FG%

55.4%

#31Stronger

53.0%

#265

Turnovers · per 100 plays

14.5%

#177slight

14.1%

#209

Offensive rebounding %

27.1%

#291slight

32.8%

#293

Free throw rate

29.1%

#64Stronger

28.0%

#265

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesHistory

OHIOBUF

−4.7 246thNet rating168th +0.7

109.3 177thOffensive rating75th 114.8

114.0 280thDefensive rating284th 114.1

70.2 76thPace213th 67.5

Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

BUF 3-point shooting
BUF offense 37.9% (19th) vs OHIO defense allowing 36.8% (335th)
+316 spots
OHIO 2-point shooting
OHIO offense 54.5% (69th) vs BUF defense allowing 56.9% (338th)
+269 spots
BUF effective shooting
BUF offense 55.4% (31st) vs OHIO defense allowing 53.0% (265th)
+234 spots
BUF scoring
BUF offense 77.5 (104th) vs OHIO defense allowing 80.0 (319th)
+215 spots
OHIO effective shooting
OHIO offense 50.9% (195th) vs BUF defense allowing 55.1% (330th)
+135 spots

ContextHistory

last 10 days

OHIO

AKR

M-OH

BUF

2 days rest

BUF

EMU

BALL

OHIO

2 days rest

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

OHIO · last 10

13-17 · 326 days rest

Mar 12 @ KENT2025–26L 75–86
Mar 6 vs M-OH2025–26L 108–110
Mar 3 @ MASS2025–26L 82–94
Feb 28 vs TOL2025–26L 67–79
Feb 21 @ NIU2025–26W 74–66
Feb 17 vs BALL2025–26W 69–57
Feb 13 @ M-OH2025–26L 74–90
Feb 7 @ ODU2025–26L 72–78
Feb 3 vs WMU2025–26W 91–71
Jan 31 @ BUF2025–26W 95–83

4-6 in these

BUF · last 10

15-15 · 326 days rest

Mar 12 @ AKR2025–26L 70–73
Mar 6 @ TOL2025–26L 78–99
Mar 3 vs EMU2025–26W 72–67
Feb 28 vs CMU2025–26L 70–75
Feb 24 @ AKR2025–26L 85–99
Feb 21 @ MASS2025–26W 86–82
Feb 17 vs NIU2025–26L 70–72
Feb 11 @ BALL2025–26W 63–53
Feb 7 @ USA2025–26L 69–81
Feb 3 vs M-OH2025–26L 71–73

3-7 in these

Player props

No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number

Ohio Bobcats

Buffalo Bulls

Ryan Sabol

BUF vs OHIO

Player page →

Points No line yet

OHIO at BUF

Full breakdown

Ryan Sabol's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…

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hit-rate splits and filters
the what-if line and market curve
every book and the line history

OHIO rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Jackson Paveletzke	37.9	17.7	3.2	5.8
Ajay Sheldon	33.0	7.7	2.0	1.6
Aidan Hadaway	32.5	15.3	7.0	1.8
JJ Kelly	30.4	8.9	4.1	0.6
Javan Simmons	29.6	17.6	6.6	1.7
Jalen Breath	12.2	2.9	2.6	0.2
Dior Conners	10.3	3.1	1.5	0.9
Kiir Kuany	9.8	3.3	1.7	0.2

BUF rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Ryan Sabol	38.2	20.9	3.9	3.4
Angelo Brizzi	33.2	18.1	3.1	2.4
Noah Batchelor	32.6	7.9	4.7	1.3
Daniel Freitag	31.7	18.5	3.5	5.2
Derrick Talton Jr.	31.5	6.5	2.8	3.9
Tim Oboh	24.1	8.5	6.1	0.2
Mikhail Pocknett	15.7	3.8	3.0	0.5
Ezra McKenna	14.2	3.2	3.4	0.7

Team rankings (2025–26)History

OHIO offenseper gameBUF defense

Effective FG%

195th50.9%

55.1%330th

Turnover %

107th13.6%

15.7%103rd

Offensive rebound %

249th28.4%

31.1%208th

Free throw rate

149th26.2%

23.3%106th

Points

125th76.7

77.0241st

Field goal %

142nd45.2%

47.7%324th

2-point %

69th54.5%

56.9%338th

3-point %

337th30.1%

35.1%250th

Free throw %

231st71.0%

74.4%284th

Rebounds

257th33.2

34.0129th

Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.

Scoring by halfHistory

per game, last 17 games · the tick is the league's average team

OHIOForAgainst

1st half

37.5

37.9

2nd half

41.5

43.8

Game

78.9

81.7

47% of OHIO's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

BUFForAgainst

1st half

33.5

37.6

2nd half

42.9

43.5

Game

76.4

81.2

44% of BUF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.

SeriesHistory

10 meetings

OHIO 8series2 BUF

Last 10OOOOOOBOOB

Avg total

154.6

combined points

Avg margin

OHIO 10.2

per meeting

Biggest win

OHIO +24

Feb 14, 2023

Last meeting

OHIO won

Jan 31, 2026

Every meetingHistory

2026OHIO 2-0 BUF

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Jan 31, 2026	OHIO 95	BUF 83	OHIO+12	+12
Jan 10, 2026	BUF 80	OHIO 91	OHIO+11	+11

2025OHIO 1-0 BUF

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Jan 7, 2025	OHIO 88	BUF 79	OHIO+9	+9

2024OHIO 2-0 BUF

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 5, 2024	OHIO 78	BUF 66	OHIO+12	+12
Jan 30, 2024	BUF 70	OHIO 91	OHIO+21	+21

2023OHIO 1-1 BUF

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 14, 2023	BUF 61	OHIO 85	OHIO+24	+24
Jan 3, 2023	OHIO 72	BUF 75	BUF+3	+3

2022OHIO 1-0 BUF

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Jan 28, 2022	OHIO 74	BUF 53	OHIO+21	+21

2021OHIO 1-1 BUF

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 13, 2021	OHIO 84	BUF 69	OHIO+15	+15
Feb 27, 2021	BUF 86	OHIO 66	BUF+20	+20

Measure	OHIO13-17 · last 30 games	BUF15-15 · last 30 games	League
Possessions per game	70.2#68 of 361	67.5#212 of 361	68.0
1st half points against	37.4#65 of 361	35.1#175 of 361	35.0
Points scored per 100 possessions	109.3#173 of 361	114.8#77 of 361	109.2
Scoring margin	−3.3#244 of 361	+0.5#155 of 361	−0.5

Measure	OHIO13-17 · last 30 games	BUF15-15 · last 30 games	League
Possessions per game	70.2#68 of 361	67.5#212 of 361	68.0
1st half points against	37.4#65 of 361	35.1#175 of 361	35.0
Points scored per 100 possessions	109.3#173 of 361	114.8#77 of 361	109.2
Scoring margin	−3.3#244 of 361	+0.5#155 of 361	−0.5

Ohio vs Buffalo — College Basketball, Feb 2, 2027

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What to know

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory