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Notre Dame (13-18 in 2025–26) hosts North Carolina (24-8 in 2025–26) on Feb 2, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UNC offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · ND defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
ND offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UNC defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UNCND
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UNCNDNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Caleb Wilson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Wilson | 32.3 | 19.7 | 5.9 | 2.7 |
| Seth Trimble | 31.7 | 13.2 | 3.2 | 2.6 |
| Henri Veesaar | 31.2 | 15.8 | 8.2 | 1.9 |
| Derek Dixon | 27.9 | 8.3 | 2.4 | 3.3 |
| Jarin Stevenson | 26.7 | 9.3 | 5.1 | 0.9 |
| Luka Bogavac | 24.0 | 10.0 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| Jonathan Powell | 15.5 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 0.6 |
| Zayden High | 12.6 | 5.3 | 3.9 | 0.6 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden Shrewsberry | 35.1 | 12.4 | 3.5 | 2.6 |
| Cole Certa | 33.7 | 17.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Jalen Haralson | 27.6 | 17.8 | 4.6 | 2.7 |
| Carson Towt | 25.4 | 4.9 | 7.5 | 1.4 |
| Logan Imes | 23.7 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 1.9 |
| Brady Koehler | 21.5 | 7.6 | 4.4 | 0.5 |
| Sir Mohammed | 17.8 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 1.9 |
| Garrett Sundra | 16.3 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 0.4 |
UNC offenseper gameND defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UNCForAgainst49% of UNC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NDForAgainst45% of ND's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UNC 8series1 ND| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | ND 69 | UNC 91 | UNC+22 | +22 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | ND 56 | UNC 76 | UNC+20 | +20 |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNC 74 | ND 73 | UNC+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024 | ND 51 | UNC 84 | UNC+33 | +33 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2023 | UNC 63 | ND 59 | UNC+4 | +4 |
| Jan 7, 2023 | ND 64 | UNC 81 | UNC+17 | +17 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2022 | UNC 73 | ND 78 | ND+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2021 | ND 59 | UNC 101 | UNC+42 | +42 |
| Jan 2, 2021 | ND 65 | UNC 66 | UNC+1 | +1 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UNC22-8 · last 30 games | ND12-18 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 48.6%#41 of 361 | 44.8%#329 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 105.8#282 of 361 | 112.9#113 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +10.7#44 of 361 | −2.4#213 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | +7.3#46 of 361 | −1.6#212 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.