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Penn State (12-20 in 2025–26) hosts Indiana (17-14 in 2025–26) on Feb 2, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
IU offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · PSU defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
PSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · IU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
IUPSU
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
IUPSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Lamar Wilkerson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker DeVries | 37.1 | 12.6 | 5.6 | 3.8 |
| Lamar Wilkerson | 35.9 | 21.7 | 3.9 | 2.1 |
| Conor Enright | 31.9 | 4.5 | 2.7 | 4.9 |
| Nick Dorn | 29.5 | 8.9 | 2.6 | 0.3 |
| Sam Alexis | 24.5 | 10.7 | 4.9 | 1.2 |
| Reed Bailey | 17.6 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| Tayton Conerway | 12.8 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Jasai Miles | 11.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayden Mingo | 34.1 | 12.4 | 3.1 | 4.1 |
| Josh Reed | 32.6 | 14.4 | 4.3 | 1.0 |
| Ivan Juric | 28.2 | 11.5 | 6.4 | 1.2 |
| Freddie Dilione V | 28.1 | 13.9 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Dominick Stewart | 25.5 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Eli Rice | 20.3 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 0.3 |
| Melih Tunca | 19.2 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Mason Blackwood | 13.1 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
IU offenseper gamePSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
IUForAgainst49% of IU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
PSUForAgainst42% of PSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
IU 5series5 PSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | PSU 72 | IU 113 | IU+41 | +41 |
| Feb 26, 2025 | PSU 78 | IU 83 | IU+5 | +5 |
| Jan 5, 2025 | IU 77 | PSU 71 | IU+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | PSU 59 | IU 61 | IU+2 | +2 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | IU 74 | PSU 83 | PSU+9 | +9 |
| Feb 3, 2024 | PSU 85 | IU 71 | PSU+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | PSU 77 | IU 73 | PSU+4 | +4 |
| Jan 11, 2023 | IU 66 | PSU 85 | PSU+19 | +19 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2022 | PSU 57 | IU 74 | IU+17 | +17 |
| Jan 2, 2022 | IU 58 | PSU 61 | PSU+3 | +3 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | IU16-14 · last 30 games | PSU10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 50.4%#4 of 361 | 44.4%#346 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +6.3#76 of 361 | −11.6#320 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | +4.2#78 of 361 | −7.8#318 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 110.6#166 of 361 | 120.9#8 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.