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Duke (32-2 in 2025–26) hosts Miami (25-8 in 2025–26) on Feb 1, 2027, 7:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MIA offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · DUKE defense in 4 (1 by a clear margin)
DUKE offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MIA defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MIADUKE
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MIADUKENo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Cameron Boozer's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Donaldson | 35.4 | 16.7 | 3.6 | 5.0 |
| Shelton Henderson | 34.2 | 13.2 | 5.4 | 1.9 |
| Ernest Udeh Jr. | 31.3 | 7.1 | 8.1 | 0.7 |
| Malik Reneau | 30.8 | 17.7 | 6.7 | 1.9 |
| Dante Allen | 26.3 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| Tru Washington | 25.0 | 11.8 | 3.7 | 1.7 |
| Timotej Malovec | 12.8 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Noam Dovrat | 8.2 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer | 34.1 | 21.0 | 10.6 | 4.3 |
| Isaiah Evans | 28.3 | 15.5 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Dame Sarr | 26.5 | 6.5 | 4.1 | 1.3 |
| Caleb Foster | 25.8 | 7.7 | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| Cayden Boozer | 23.4 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| Maliq Brown | 21.7 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 1.8 |
| Patrick Ngongba II | 21.6 | 10.1 | 5.8 | 1.8 |
| Nikolas Khamenia | 20.3 | 6.3 | 3.8 | 0.7 |
MIA offenseper gameDUKE defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MIAForAgainst48% of MIA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
DUKEForAgainst52% of DUKE's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MIA 3series6 DUKE| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | DUKE 97 | MIA 60 | DUKE+37 | +37 |
| Jan 14, 2025 | MIA 54 | DUKE 89 | DUKE+35 | +35 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024 | DUKE 84 | MIA 55 | DUKE+29 | +29 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2023 | DUKE 85 | MIA 78 | DUKE+7 | +7 |
| Feb 6, 2023 | DUKE 59 | MIA 81 | MIA+22 | +22 |
| Jan 21, 2023 | MIA 66 | DUKE 68 | DUKE+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2022 | MIA 76 | DUKE 80 | DUKE+4 | +4 |
| Jan 8, 2022 | MIA 76 | DUKE 74 | MIA+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2021 | DUKE 75 | MIA 77 | MIA+2 | +2 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MIA22-8 · last 30 games | DUKE28-2 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points against | 35.4#158 of 361 | 31.1#341 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Possessions per game | 68.1#181 of 361 | 65.5#296 of 361 | 68.0 |
| 2nd half points for | 41.9#72 of 361 | 39.8#163 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 105.6#286 of 361 | 97.2#359 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.