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Incarnate Word (8-19 in 2025–26) hosts Houston Christian (10-20 in 2025–26) on Feb 1, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
HCU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UIW defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
UIW offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · HCU defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
HCUUIW
Expected pace: about 64 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
HCUUIWNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Davion Bailey's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Johnson | 32.1 | 8.0 | 3.2 | 2.8 |
| Kylin Green | 30.7 | 8.5 | 3.4 | 4.0 |
| Ryan Bartley | 28.9 | 9.5 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| D'Aundre Samuels | 28.9 | 11.7 | 4.1 | 2.8 |
| Demarco Bethea | 28.6 | 10.9 | 5.9 | 1.3 |
| Demari Williams | 27.5 | 12.3 | 3.7 | 1.0 |
| Mambourou Mara | 22.9 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.6 |
| Caleb Gaston | 4.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Bailey | 36.3 | 16.9 | 3.7 | 2.1 |
| Tahj Staveskie | 34.9 | 16.4 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| Harold Woods | 29.9 | 9.0 | 6.2 | 1.2 |
| Jordan Pyke | 23.0 | 12.1 | 4.3 | 1.5 |
| Love Bettis | 22.5 | 5.9 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Marcus Glover | 16.3 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 |
| Lewis Rowe | 14.5 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| Esteban Mann | 12.5 | 1.6 | 4.1 | 0.1 |
HCU offenseper gameUIW defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
HCUForAgainst45% of HCU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UIWForAgainst44% of UIW's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
HCU 6series4 UIW| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | UIW 75 | HCU 81 | HCU+6 | +6 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | HCU 56 | UIW 73 | UIW+17 | +17 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | HCU 64 | UIW 74 | UIW+10 | +10 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | UIW 76 | HCU 81 | HCU+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | UIW 83 | HCU 86 | HCU+3 | +3 |
| Jan 27, 2024 | HCU 75 | UIW 79 | UIW+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | HCU 84 | UIW 78 | HCU+6 | +6 |
| Jan 19, 2023 | UIW 89 | HCU 78 | UIW+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2022 | UIW 64 | HCU 74 | HCU+10 | +10 |
| Feb 24, 2022 | UIW 68 | HCU 82 | HCU+14 | +14 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | HCU10-20 · last 30 games | UIW9-21 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 48.7%#42 of 361 | 45.5%#293 of 361 | 46.9% |
| 2nd half points for | 35.8#324 of 361 | 38.7#215 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 103.4#297 of 361 | 107.4#222 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 113.0#106 of 361 | 115.1#55 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.