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St. Thomas (21-9 in 2025–26) hosts South Dakota (12-16 in 2025–26) on Jan 30, 2027, 7:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
SDAK offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · STMN defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
STMN offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · SDAK defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
SDAKSTMN
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
SDAKSTMNNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Isaac Bruns's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Crawford | 36.7 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| Uzziah Buntyn | 34.8 | 14.5 | 2.9 | 3.5 |
| Isaac Bruns | 34.0 | 21.0 | 5.7 | 1.7 |
| Vince Buzelis | 31.3 | 10.0 | 5.3 | 2.1 |
| Silas Bennion | 29.5 | 4.8 | 2.7 | 3.1 |
| Cameron Fens | 29.2 | 18.1 | 10.5 | 1.4 |
| Ethan Kizer | 16.2 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 0.2 |
| Jesse McIntosh | 15.7 | 7.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Janowski | 32.9 | 17.2 | 4.8 | 2.2 |
| Nolan Minessale | 31.9 | 19.3 | 4.8 | 4.1 |
| Carter Bjerke | 26.0 | 9.9 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| Austin Herro | 25.5 | 5.5 | 4.9 | 4.8 |
| Ben Oosterbaan | 24.9 | 8.7 | 4.7 | 1.5 |
| Isaiah Johnson-Arigu | 21.2 | 9.4 | 3.9 | 1.3 |
| Ryan Dufault | 18.5 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Hayden Tibbits | 13.4 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
SDAK offenseper gameSTMN defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
SDAKForAgainst46% of SDAK's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
STMNForAgainst48% of STMN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
SDAK 6series4 STMN| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | STMN 90 | SDAK 78 | STMN+12 | +12 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | SDAK 86 | STMN 99 | STMN+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2025 | STMN 80 | SDAK 85 | SDAK+5 | +5 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SDAK 104 | STMN 119 | STMN+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | SDAK 80 | STMN 83 | STMN+3 | +3 |
| Jan 18, 2024 | STMN 73 | SDAK 74 | SDAK+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | SDAK 81 | STMN 67 | SDAK+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | STMN 84 | SDAK 92 | SDAK+8 | +8 |
| Feb 17, 2022 | STMN 60 | SDAK 81 | SDAK+21 | +21 |
| Jan 22, 2022 | SDAK 90 | STMN 79 | SDAK+11 | +11 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | SDAK13-17 · last 30 games | STMN21-9 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −13.4#319 of 361 | +14.4#34 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −6.8#271 of 361 | +12.4#34 of 361 | −0.7 |
| 1st half points against | 39.0#26 of 361 | 33.5#253 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 115.2#53 of 361 | 106.2#276 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.