Tennessee State (16-9 in 2025–26) hosts UT Martin (16-10 in 2025–26) on Jan 30, 2027, 4:30 PM ET.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UTM offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · TNST defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
TNST offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UTM defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Aaron Nkrumah's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrija Bukumirovic | 29.7 | 12.7 | 7.7 | 1.3 |
| Matas Deniusas | 27.7 | 11.9 | 5.7 | 1.4 |
| Filip Radakovic | 27.6 | 7.8 | 4.1 | 2.5 |
| Filip Petkovski | 25.3 | 4.9 | 2.8 | 2.0 |
| Afan Trnka | 21.8 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 1.7 |
| Pedro Santos | 21.7 | 7.2 | 4.2 | 0.9 |
| Damien King | 18.2 | 5.2 | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| Vladimir Khryapa | 14.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante Harris | 32.1 | 9.7 | 3.6 | 5.7 |
| Aaron Nkrumah | 31.9 | 18.4 | 5.8 | 3.2 |
| Travis Harper II | 30.8 | 16.9 | 4.3 | 0.9 |
| Jalen Pitre | 26.2 | 5.4 | 5.8 | 0.7 |
| Antoine Lorick III | 24.7 | 11.1 | 5.5 | 1.0 |
| Carlous Williams | 18.3 | 6.1 | 2.9 | 0.4 |
| Khalil London | 14.1 | 8.1 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Jabrion Spikes | 11.0 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
44% of UTM's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
47% of TNST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | TNST+13 | +13 | ||
| Feb 28, 2026 | TNST+25 | +25 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | TNST+7 | +7 | ||
| Feb 18, 2025 | TNST+11 | +11 | ||
| Jan 21, 2025 | TNST+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | UTM+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2023 | UTM+16 | +16 | ||
| Feb 23, 2023 | TNST+6 | +6 | ||
| Jan 12, 2023 | UTM+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2022 | TNST+8 | +8 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UTM17-13 · last 30 games | TNST18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points for | 29.7#345 of 361 | 36.3#99 of 361 | 34.8 |
| Possessions per game | 64.9#318 of 361 | 69.4#100 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 102.8#303 of 361 | 110.4#149 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 49.8%#8 of 361 | 47.1%#157 of 361 | 46.9% |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Feb 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.