Tennessee (22-11 in 2025–26) hosts Florida (25-7 in 2025–26) on Jan 30, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
FLA offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · TENN defense in 1
TENN offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · FLA defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nate Ament's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Haugh | 32.7 | 16.6 | 5.6 | 1.8 |
| Alex Condon | 30.7 | 15.7 | 7.0 | 3.4 |
| Boogie Fland | 30.1 | 11.7 | 2.7 | 3.3 |
| Xaivian Lee | 26.9 | 11.3 | 3.2 | 5.3 |
| Rueben Chinyelu | 25.3 | 10.3 | 12.5 | 0.7 |
| Urban Klavzar | 20.9 | 10.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Micah Handlogten | 14.7 | 3.4 | 5.4 | 0.9 |
| Isaiah Brown | 14.7 | 6.3 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Kobi Gillespie | 36.1 | 17.3 | 2.7 | 5.3 |
| Nate Ament | 32.8 | 20.4 | 7.0 | 2.5 |
| Bishop Boswell | 28.8 | 6.5 | 4.7 | 3.3 |
| Felix Okpara | 28.1 | 8.7 | 7.2 | 0.5 |
| J.P. Estrella | 23.3 | 11.7 | 6.3 | 0.9 |
| Jaylen Carey | 19.1 | 5.3 | 5.9 | 1.1 |
| Amari Evans | 17.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 0.6 |
| DeWayne Brown II | 15.7 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 1.1 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
47% of FLA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
47% of TENN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | FLA+24 | +24 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | FLA+9 | +9 | ||
| Feb 1, 2025 | TENN+20 | +20 | ||
| Jan 7, 2025 | FLA+30 | +30 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024 | TENN+19 | +19 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2023 | FLA+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2022 | TENN+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2021 | TENN+12 | +12 | ||
| Mar 7, 2021 | TENN+11 | +11 | ||
| Jan 19, 2021 | FLA+26 | +26 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | FLA24-6 · last 30 games | TENN19-11 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 71.1#36 of 361 | 66.9#239 of 361 | 68.0 |
| 2nd half points for | 45.2#9 of 361 | 41.6#85 of 361 | 39.5 |
| 1st half points against | 32.7#286 of 361 | 30.9#345 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 101.1#337 of 361 | 105.0#295 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.