Ohio (13-17 in 2025–26) hosts Miami (OH) (28-1 in 2025–26) on Jan 30, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
M-OH offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · OHIO defense in 1
OHIO offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · M-OH defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 71 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jackson Paveletzke's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eian Elmer | 34.0 | 15.2 | 6.1 | 1.3 |
| Peter Suder | 33.7 | 17.3 | 5.1 | 3.7 |
| Brant Byers | 32.1 | 13.3 | 3.6 | 0.7 |
| Luke Skaljac | 31.1 | 13.7 | 2.4 | 5.6 |
| Antwone Woolfolk | 25.9 | 10.5 | 6.0 | 1.9 |
| Justin Kirby | 18.2 | 6.7 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| Almar Atlason | 18.1 | 7.4 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| Trey Perry | 12.9 | 5.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Paveletzke | 37.9 | 17.7 | 3.2 | 5.8 |
| Ajay Sheldon | 33.0 | 7.7 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| Aidan Hadaway | 32.5 | 15.3 | 7.0 | 1.8 |
| JJ Kelly | 30.4 | 8.9 | 4.1 | 0.6 |
| Javan Simmons | 29.6 | 17.6 | 6.6 | 1.7 |
| Jalen Breath | 12.2 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 0.2 |
| Dior Conners | 10.3 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Kiir Kuany | 9.8 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.2 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
49% of M-OH's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
47% of OHIO's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | M-OH+2 | +2 | ||
| Feb 13, 2026 | M-OH+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | OHIO+9 | +9 | ||
| Feb 1, 2025 | M-OH+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024 | OHIO+13 | +13 | ||
| Feb 3, 2024 | OHIO+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | M-OH+17 | +17 | ||
| Feb 4, 2023 | OHIO+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | OHIO+13 | +13 | ||
| Jan 18, 2022 | OHIO+23 | +23 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | M-OH28-2 · last 30 games | OHIO13-17 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 49.4%#9 of 361 | 46.0%#253 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Scoring margin | +10.4#17 of 361 | −3.3#244 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +14.6#22 of 361 | −4.7#242 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 106.8#263 of 361 | 114.0#81 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.