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San Diego (10-21 in 2025–26) hosts San Francisco (16-16 in 2025–26) on Jan 30, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
SF offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · USD defense in 1
USD offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · SF defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
SFUSD
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
SFUSDNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Ty-Laur Johnson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrone Riley IV | 34.1 | 12.9 | 5.2 | 1.4 |
| Ryan Beasley | 34.1 | 12.9 | 3.5 | 5.1 |
| Legend Smiley | 26.9 | 8.8 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| David Fuchs | 25.4 | 13.6 | 8.6 | 1.4 |
| Junjie Wang | 24.9 | 11.3 | 2.9 | 0.6 |
| Vukasin Masic | 19.4 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Guillermo Diaz Graham | 17.8 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| Mookie Cook | 16.3 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toneari Lane | 29.5 | 12.3 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| Ty-Laur Johnson | 27.1 | 14.5 | 3.0 | 4.9 |
| Adrian McIntyre | 25.6 | 9.9 | 3.7 | 3.4 |
| Juanse Gorosito | 23.8 | 9.8 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| Assane Diop | 23.0 | 7.3 | 6.2 | 1.2 |
| Gavin Ripp | 22.1 | 5.5 | 3.1 | 2.0 |
| Dominique Ford | 20.0 | 5.9 | 2.9 | 1.0 |
| Vuk Boskovic | 17.7 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 1.7 |
SF offenseper gameUSD defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
SFForAgainst44% of SF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
USDForAgainst44% of USD's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
SF 9series1 USD| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | SF 92 | USD 79 | SF+13 | +13 |
| Jan 2, 2026 | USD 64 | SF 74 | SF+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | SF 84 | USD 61 | SF+23 | +23 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | USD 69 | SF 81 | SF+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2024 | USD 79 | SF 95 | SF+16 | +16 |
| Jan 11, 2024 | SF 83 | USD 63 | SF+20 | +20 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | SF 94 | USD 81 | SF+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | USD 80 | SF 68 | USD+12 | +12 |
| Feb 26, 2022 | SF 78 | USD 62 | SF+16 | +16 |
| Jan 8, 2022 | USD 73 | SF 88 | SF+15 | +15 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | SF15-15 · last 30 games | USD10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 73.3#271 of 361 | 77.7#59 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −1.0#92 of 361 | 0.0#268 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Possessions per game | 66.3#270 of 361 | 69.2#110 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 111.5#126 of 361 | 105.5#263 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.