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Mercyhurst (13-17 in 2025–26) hosts Chicago State (5-24 in 2025–26) on Jan 30, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CHST offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · MERC defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
MERC offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · CHST defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
CHSTMERC
Expected pace: about 65 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
CHSTMERCNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Bernie Blunt III's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Ray | 34.1 | 15.9 | 5.1 | 2.3 |
| Marcus Tankersley | 30.8 | 12.9 | 2.8 | 3.2 |
| Braelon Bush | 27.1 | 7.8 | 2.0 | 3.9 |
| Doyel Cockrill III | 26.0 | 10.8 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Stephen Byard | 21.4 | 11.2 | 5.6 | 0.7 |
| Corey Sands | 18.9 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Malek Robinson | 15.5 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Dailliss Cox | 15.1 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernie Blunt III | 32.3 | 17.5 | 3.5 | 2.3 |
| Qadir Martin | 31.7 | 13.5 | 7.4 | 1.1 |
| Jake Lemelman | 31.1 | 15.1 | 2.5 | 3.5 |
| Deshaun Jackson Jr. | 22.2 | 5.4 | 3.7 | 2.9 |
| Christian Gamble | 22.0 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Mykolas Ivanauskas | 18.1 | 5.6 | 4.2 | 0.5 |
| Sean Lang | 16.2 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 1.0 |
| Kaden Fuhrmann | 14.1 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
CHST offenseper gameMERC defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
CHSTForAgainst47% of CHST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MERCForAgainst46% of MERC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
CHST 2series2 MERC| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | MERC 74 | CHST 78 | CHST+4 | +4 |
| Jan 25, 2026 | CHST 59 | MERC 61 | MERC+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | CHST 68 | MERC 90 | MERC+22 | +22 |
| Feb 6, 2025 | MERC 78 | CHST 85 | CHST+7 | +7 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CHST5-25 · last 30 games | MERC13-17 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 117.1#27 of 361 | 104.9#297 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 80.5#95 of 361 | 64.8#329 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −15.8#341 of 361 | +7.9#109 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −17.8#348 of 361 | −1.9#203 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.