Purdue vs Michigan State Odds, Stats & Props

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Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.

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What to know

Scoring margin

PUR +11.5 · MSU +10.5

Points scored minus allowed a game, 2025–26. Each team's own average, not a forecast.

Form

PUR 7-3 · MSU 7-3

Each team's record over its last ten games.

Rest

PUR 3d · MSU 3d

Days off before this game, from the schedule.

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory

ranks betterranks worseStronger72+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 361 (#1 = best)

PUR offensevsMSU defense

PUR offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MSU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

57.6%

#11slight

48.6%

#52

Turnovers · per 100 plays

11.6%

#9Stronger

13.3%

#269

Offensive rebounding %

36.3%

#23

22.6%

slight#1

Free throw rate

21.3%

#310

23.2%

Stronger#103

MSU offensevsPUR defense

MSU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · PUR defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

53.6%

#80Stronger

52.3%

#227

Turnovers · per 100 plays

14.5%

#175slight

13.9%

#228

Offensive rebounding %

38.5%

#4slight

26.4%

#24

Free throw rate

27.6%

#103

18.7%

Stronger#15

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesHistory

PURMSU

+17.7 14thNet rating21st +15.8

125.7 2ndOffensive rating41st 118.5

108.0 132ndDefensive rating42nd 102.7

64.9 321stPace256th 66.6

Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

PUR turnovers
PUR offense 11.6% (9th) vs MSU defense allowing 13.3% (269th)
+260 spots
MSU effective shooting
MSU offense 53.6% (80th) vs PUR defense allowing 52.3% (227th)
+147 spots
MSU 2-point shooting
MSU offense 53.4% (106th) vs PUR defense allowing 53.1% (237th)
+131 spots
MSU 3-point shooting
MSU offense 35.9% (66th) vs PUR defense allowing 34.2% (196th)
+130 spots
PUR 3-point shooting
PUR offense 37.9% (17th) vs MSU defense allowing 32.9% (111th)
+94 spots

ContextHistory

last 10 days

PUR

MD

NEB

MSU

3 days rest

MSU

OSU

PSU

PUR

3 days rest

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

PUR · last 10

27-8 · 307 days rest

Mar 28 @ ARIZ2025–26L 64–79
Mar 26 vs TEX2025–26W 79–77
Mar 22 vs MIA2025–26W 79–69
Mar 15 @ MICH2025–26W 80–72
Mar 14 @ UCLA2025–26W 73–66
Mar 13 @ NEB2025–26W 74–58
Mar 12 vs NU2025–26W 81–68
Mar 7 vs WIS2025–26L 93–97
Mar 4 @ NU2025–26W 70–66
Mar 1 @ OSU2025–26L 74–82

7-3 in these

MSU · last 10

25-7 · 308 days rest

Mar 27 @ CONN2025–26L 63–67
Mar 21 vs LOU2025–26W 77–69
Mar 19 vs NDSU2025–26W 92–67
Mar 13 vs UCLA2025–26L 84–88
Mar 8 @ MICH2025–26L 80–90
Mar 5 vs RUTG2025–26W 91–87
Mar 1 @ IU2025–26W 77–64
Feb 26 @ PUR2025–26W 76–74
Feb 22 vs OSU2025–26W 66–60
Feb 17 vs UCLA2025–26W 82–59

7-3 in these

Player props

No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number

Purdue Boilermakers

Michigan State Spartans

Jeremy Fears Jr.

MSU vs PUR

Player page →

Points No line yet

PUR at MSU

Full breakdown

Jeremy Fears Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…

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hit-rate splits and filters
the what-if line and market curve
every book and the line history

PUR rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Braden Smith	35.8	12.5	3.5	8.8
Fletcher Loyer	31.2	15.4	2.5	2.6
Trey Kaufman-Renn	29.4	15.0	8.4	2.5
C.J. Cox	24.5	7.9	2.8	1.3
Oscar Cluff	24.4	9.1	6.9	1.5
Jack Benter	15.3	4.2	2.3	0.8
Gicarri Harris	14.7	4.5	1.3	0.5
Omer Mayer	13.8	5.7	0.9	0.9

MSU rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Jeremy Fears Jr.	33.7	18.9	1.9	9.6
Coen Carr	30.2	11.9	5.7	1.1
Carson Cooper	28.1	11.5	6.9	1.3
Jaxon Kohler	27.3	10.7	7.9	1.4
Jordan Scott	25.2	7.7	2.7	1.3
Kur Teng	18.9	7.8	1.9	0.9
Divine Ugochukwu	18.7	5.5	2.7	2.3
Cam Ward	15.9	4.3	4.3	0.3

Team rankings (2025–26)History

PUR offenseper gameMSU defense

Effective FG%

11th57.6%

48.6%52nd

Turnover %

9th11.6%

13.3%269th

Offensive rebound %

23rd36.3%

22.6%1st

Free throw rate

310th21.3%

23.2%103rd

Points

38th81.7

68.442nd

Field goal %

11th49.9%

41.0%28th

2-point %

19th58.1%

48.0%43rd

3-point %

17th37.9%

32.9%111th

Free throw %

111th74.3%

75.1%314th

Rebounds

136th35.4

28.31st

Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.

Scoring by halfHistory

per game, last 17 games · the tick is the league's average team

PURForAgainst

1st half

38.5

33.3

2nd half

39.9

38.8

Game

78.4

72.1

49% of PUR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

MSUForAgainst

1st half

34.0

34.2

2nd half

44.5

38.5

Game

78.5

72.8

43% of MSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.

SeriesHistory

10 meetings

PUR 7series3 MSU

Last 10MMPPPPPMPP

Avg total

136.6

combined points

Avg margin

PUR 3.0

per meeting

Biggest win

PUR +16

Jan 29, 2023

Last meeting

MSU won

Feb 26, 2026

Every meetingHistory

2026PUR 0-1 MSU

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 26, 2026	MSU 76	PUR 74	MSU+2	+2

2025PUR 0-1 MSU

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 18, 2025	PUR 66	MSU 75	MSU+9	+9

2024PUR 2-0 MSU

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 15, 2024	MSU 62	PUR 67	PUR+5	+5
Mar 2, 2024	MSU 74	PUR 80	PUR+6	+6

2023PUR 2-0 MSU

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Jan 29, 2023	MSU 61	PUR 77	PUR+16	+16
Jan 16, 2023	PUR 64	MSU 63	PUR+1	+1

2022PUR 1-1 MSU

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 12, 2022	MSU 70	PUR 75	PUR+5	+5
Feb 26, 2022	PUR 65	MSU 68	MSU+3	+3

2021PUR 2-0 MSU

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 16, 2021	MSU 65	PUR 75	PUR+10	+10
Jan 8, 2021	PUR 55	MSU 54	PUR+1	+1

Measure	PUR22-8 · last 30 games	MSU23-7 · last 30 games	League
Share of points scored in the 1st half	49.0%#19 of 361	46.7%#190 of 361	46.8%
Points allowed per 100 possessions	108.3#234 of 361	102.9#323 of 361	109.9
Share of points allowed in the 1st half	46.5%#216 of 361	47.4%#130 of 361	46.9%
Possessions per game	64.5#333 of 361	66.5#259 of 361	68.0

Measure	PUR22-8 · last 30 games	MSU23-7 · last 30 games	League
Share of points scored in the 1st half	49.0%#19 of 361	46.7%#190 of 361	46.8%
Points allowed per 100 possessions	108.3#234 of 361	102.9#323 of 361	109.9
Share of points allowed in the 1st half	46.5%#216 of 361	47.4%#130 of 361	46.9%
Possessions per game	64.5#333 of 361	66.5#259 of 361	68.0

Purdue vs Michigan State — College Basketball, Jan 30, 2027

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What to know

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory