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Penn State (12-20 in 2025–26) hosts Maryland (12-21 in 2025–26) on Jan 30, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MD offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · PSU defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
PSU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · MD defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MDPSU
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MDPSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Andre Mills's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Washington | 33.3 | 10.1 | 9.1 | 1.5 |
| Elijah Saunders | 31.8 | 8.9 | 4.1 | 1.1 |
| Andre Mills | 29.5 | 16.9 | 4.1 | 1.7 |
| Darius Adams | 24.9 | 8.6 | 3.1 | 1.7 |
| David Coit | 24.1 | 11.3 | 1.5 | 2.7 |
| Collin Metcalf | 21.1 | 2.1 | 4.8 | 0.5 |
| Myles Rice | 17.7 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 0.7 |
| Isaiah Watts | 11.0 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayden Mingo | 34.1 | 12.4 | 3.1 | 4.1 |
| Josh Reed | 32.6 | 14.4 | 4.3 | 1.0 |
| Ivan Juric | 28.2 | 11.5 | 6.4 | 1.2 |
| Freddie Dilione V | 28.1 | 13.9 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Dominick Stewart | 25.5 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Eli Rice | 20.3 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 0.3 |
| Melih Tunca | 19.2 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Mason Blackwood | 13.1 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
MD offenseper gamePSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MDForAgainst47% of MD's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
PSUForAgainst42% of PSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MD 5series4 PSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | PSU 73 | MD 96 | MD+23 | +23 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | MD 68 | PSU 64 | MD+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | MD 69 | PSU 85 | PSU+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2023 | PSU 75 | MD 81 | MD+6 | +6 |
| Mar 5, 2023 | MD 64 | PSU 65 | PSU+1 | +1 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | PSU 68 | MD 74 | MD+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2022 | PSU 61 | MD 67 | MD+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2021 | PSU 66 | MD 61 | PSU+5 | +5 |
| Feb 5, 2021 | MD 50 | PSU 55 | PSU+5 | +5 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MD10-20 · last 30 games | PSU10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 45.3%#306 of 361 | 48.5%#50 of 361 | 46.9% |
| 2nd half points for | 37.1#285 of 361 | 40.7#129 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 104.8#272 of 361 | 109.3#176 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Possessions per game | 66.0#281 of 361 | 67.0#233 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.