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Indiana State (8-21 in 2025–26) hosts Evansville (5-25 in 2025–26) on Jan 30, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
EVAN offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · INST defense in 4 (3 by a clear margin)
INST offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · EVAN defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
EVANINST
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
EVANINSTNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
AJ Casey's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Moeller | 37.3 | 14.7 | 5.0 | 4.3 |
| AJ Casey | 33.7 | 16.7 | 6.4 | 2.8 |
| Bryce Quinet | 30.8 | 9.7 | 1.6 | 2.7 |
| Joshua Hughes | 30.5 | 9.6 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| Alex Hemenway | 29.9 | 7.2 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| Trent Hundley | 19.3 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| James Dyson-Merwe | 14.9 | 1.9 | 3.4 | 0.9 |
| Kaia Berridge | 12.8 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Scott | 30.3 | 12.3 | 5.6 | 2.6 |
| Camp Wagner | 26.9 | 10.7 | 3.8 | 2.1 |
| Bruno Alocen | 26.9 | 8.1 | 3.4 | 2.0 |
| Xavier Hall | 26.3 | 7.3 | 2.1 | 3.9 |
| Sterling Young | 24.2 | 10.4 | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| Enel St. Bernard | 20.9 | 7.8 | 6.2 | 1.1 |
| Markus Harding | 20.1 | 6.8 | 3.8 | 0.4 |
| Jo Van Buggenhout | 18.1 | 6.1 | 2.5 | 3.2 |
EVAN offenseper gameINST defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
EVANForAgainst46% of EVAN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
INSTForAgainst49% of INST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
EVAN 2series8 INST| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | INST 84 | EVAN 63 | INST+21 | +21 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | EVAN 72 | INST 69 | EVAN+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2025 | EVAN 79 | INST 74 | EVAN+5 | +5 |
| Jan 4, 2025 | INST 66 | EVAN 62 | INST+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2024 | INST 85 | EVAN 67 | INST+18 | +18 |
| Jan 3, 2024 | EVAN 73 | INST 87 | INST+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | EVAN 58 | INST 97 | INST+39 | +39 |
| Feb 1, 2023 | INST 83 | EVAN 65 | INST+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | EVAN 63 | INST 91 | INST+28 | +28 |
| Feb 10, 2022 | INST 80 | EVAN 77 | INST+3 | +3 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | EVAN5-25 · last 30 games | INST8-22 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 116.3#36 of 361 | 109.7#193 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Possessions per game | 67.3#220 of 361 | 69.4#99 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points for | 65.8#342 of 361 | 72.0#234 of 361 | 74.3 |
| 2nd half points against | 41.3#105 of 361 | 39.3#201 of 361 | 39.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.