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Murray State (20-12 in 2025–26) hosts Valparaiso (17-14 in 2025–26) on Jan 30, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
VAL offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · MUR defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
MUR offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · VAL defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
VALMUR
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
VALMURNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Roman Domon's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Dease | 31.0 | 11.2 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| Rakim Chaney | 29.7 | 10.3 | 3.7 | 2.6 |
| JT Pettigrew | 29.5 | 13.5 | 7.6 | 2.2 |
| Brody Whitaker | 28.6 | 10.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Shon Tupuola | 24.7 | 6.2 | 5.1 | 1.1 |
| Justus McNair | 22.1 | 9.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Carter Hopoi | 13.3 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 0.3 |
| Sader Servilus | 12.9 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 0.8 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Domon | 29.5 | 16.1 | 5.1 | 1.6 |
| Javon Jackson | 28.1 | 16.1 | 2.5 | 2.9 |
| Fred King | 25.3 | 13.3 | 8.3 | 0.5 |
| Layne Taylor | 23.1 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| JJ Traynor | 22.5 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 0.5 |
| Mason Miller | 22.3 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 0.3 |
| KJ Tenner | 19.2 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| Mathis Courbon | 13.1 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
VAL offenseper gameMUR defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
VALForAgainst47% of VAL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MURForAgainst49% of MUR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
VAL 0series8 MUR| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | VAL 79 | MUR 92 | MUR+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | MUR 85 | VAL 79 | MUR+6 | +6 |
| Feb 8, 2025 | MUR 74 | VAL 56 | MUR+18 | +18 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | VAL 47 | MUR 58 | MUR+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | VAL 68 | MUR 80 | MUR+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | VAL 50 | MUR 78 | MUR+28 | +28 |
| Feb 26, 2023 | VAL 76 | MUR 77 | MUR+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2022 | MUR 77 | VAL 70 | MUR+7 | +7 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | VAL16-14 · last 30 games | MUR18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points for | 32.8#265 of 361 | 39.2#30 of 361 | 34.8 |
| Possessions per game | 66.5#261 of 361 | 71.1#37 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points against | 72.4#247 of 361 | 80.7#37 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 108.1#206 of 361 | 116.0#59 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.