Iowa State (27-7 in 2025–26) hosts Kansas State (12-20 in 2025–26) on Jan 30, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
KSU offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · ISU defense in 4 (3 by a clear margin)
ISU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · KSU defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
P.J. Haggerty's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Haggerty | 38.0 | 24.0 | 5.7 | 2.9 |
| Nate Johnson | 35.4 | 14.5 | 4.9 | 5.3 |
| David Castillo | 33.3 | 8.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Taj Manning | 28.8 | 5.1 | 6.2 | 1.3 |
| Khamari McGriff | 20.2 | 9.2 | 4.4 | 1.0 |
| C.J. Jones | 19.9 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Andrej Kostic | 17.6 | 7.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Dorin Buca | 14.1 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamin Lipsey | 33.1 | 13.3 | 4.0 | 4.7 |
| Joshua Jefferson | 32.3 | 16.3 | 7.2 | 4.4 |
| Milan Momcilovic | 31.9 | 15.7 | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| Blake Buchanan | 23.8 | 7.8 | 5.2 | 1.3 |
| Nate Heise | 23.7 | 4.5 | 4.7 | 1.9 |
| Killyan Toure | 21.6 | 5.9 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| Jamarion Batemon | 17.7 | 7.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| Dominykas Pleta | 13.3 | 4.6 | 2.7 | 0.6 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
47% of KSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
50% of ISU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | ISU+34 | +34 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | ISU+16 | +16 | ||
| Feb 1, 2025 | KSU+19 | +19 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | ISU+19 | +19 | ||
| Mar 9, 2024 | KSU+7 | +7 | ||
| Jan 24, 2024 | ISU+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | KSU+6 | +6 | ||
| Jan 24, 2023 | ISU+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | ISU+1 | +1 | ||
| Feb 12, 2022 | KSU+6 | +6 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | KSU10-20 · last 30 games | ISU23-7 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against | 82.8#13 of 361 | 65.5#352 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −10.5#290 of 361 | +20.1#9 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 113.4#95 of 361 | 97.9#356 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −5.9#255 of 361 | +21.6#6 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.