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New Mexico (22-10 in 2025–26) hosts Air Force (3-29 in 2025–26) on Jan 30, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
AF offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · UNM defense in 4 (4 by a clear margin)
UNM offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · AF defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
AFUNM
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
AFUNMNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jake Hall's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hobin | 30.7 | 11.8 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| Kam Sanders | 28.9 | 13.0 | 4.1 | 4.4 |
| Ethan Greenberg | 28.3 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| Eli Robinson | 24.9 | 6.4 | 4.9 | 1.0 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 22.7 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| Caleb Walker | 18.3 | 6.7 | 4.7 | 0.7 |
| A.J. Patterson | 14.5 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Kolby Gilles | 13.5 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Hall | 33.7 | 17.6 | 3.7 | 1.7 |
| Luke Haupt | 32.2 | 9.6 | 4.9 | 3.3 |
| Tomislav Buljan | 28.3 | 13.1 | 11.1 | 1.4 |
| Uriah Tenette | 27.0 | 10.3 | 2.4 | 3.7 |
| Deyton Albury | 25.7 | 12.1 | 4.0 | 2.3 |
| Antonio Chol | 22.5 | 5.9 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Tajavis Miller | 16.9 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| JT Rock | 12.1 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 0.6 |
AF offenseper gameUNM defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
AFForAgainst45% of AF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UNMForAgainst46% of UNM's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
AF 2series8 UNM| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | AF 61 | UNM 98 | UNM+37 | +37 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UNM 91 | AF 49 | UNM+42 | +42 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | AF 71 | UNM 92 | UNM+21 | +21 |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UNM 88 | AF 53 | UNM+35 | +35 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024 | AF 56 | UNM 82 | UNM+26 | +26 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | AF 78 | UNM 77 | AF+1 | +1 |
| Jan 20, 2024 | UNM 85 | AF 66 | UNM+19 | +19 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | UNM 77 | AF 89 | AF+12 | +12 |
| Jan 27, 2023 | AF 73 | UNM 81 | UNM+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | AF 65 | UNM 69 | UNM+4 | +4 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | AF3-27 · last 30 games | UNM20-10 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points for | 33.7#354 of 361 | 44.0#22 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Scoring margin | −18.4#359 of 361 | +7.7#40 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −27.6#360 of 361 | +11.1#42 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 92.7#361 of 361 | 115.7#65 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.