Arkansas-Pine Bluff (11-19 in 2025–26) hosts Mississippi Valley State (2-30 in 2025–26) on Jan 30, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MVSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UAPB defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
UAPB offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · MVSU defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Michael James's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael James | 38.3 | 23.1 | 3.6 | 3.1 |
| Xzayvion Childress | 30.6 | 8.2 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| Daniel Mayfield | 30.5 | 13.9 | 6.0 | 1.2 |
| Patrick Punch | 30.3 | 7.8 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| X'Zaevion Barnett | 29.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 2.9 |
| Mussa Mzein | 19.1 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| Tyrone Iroghama | 11.7 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0.2 |
| Samuel Murray | 11.2 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quion Williams | 37.1 | 18.3 | 8.1 | 4.8 |
| Trevon Payton | 34.9 | 10.1 | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| Alex Mirhosseini | 33.2 | 12.1 | 1.8 | 2.9 |
| Milhan Charles | 30.5 | 10.1 | 3.3 | 1.5 |
| Jaquan Scott | 30.1 | 15.7 | 7.1 | 0.9 |
| Ramel Lloyd Jr. | 22.5 | 6.3 | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| Ahmad Johnson | 7.8 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Dennis Asoro | 6.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.1 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
46% of MVSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
48% of UAPB's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | MVSU+1 | +1 | ||
| Jan 31, 2026 | UAPB+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | UAPB+25 | +25 | ||
| Feb 1, 2025 | MVSU+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | UAPB+9 | +9 | ||
| Feb 3, 2024 | UAPB+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | MVSU+4 | +4 | ||
| Jan 28, 2023 | UAPB+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | UAPB+14 | +14 | ||
| Jan 29, 2022 | UAPB+6 | +6 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MVSU2-28 · last 30 games | UAPB11-19 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 48.1%#81 of 361 | 43.8%#355 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 62.5#345 of 361 | 79.9#118 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Possessions per game | 68.6#149 of 361 | 70.7#45 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 92.7#360 of 361 | 104.7#274 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.