Oregon (12-20 in 2025–26) and Gonzaga (30-3 in 2025–26) meet at a neutral site on Jan 30, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
GONZ offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · ORE defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
ORE offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · GONZ defense in 4 (4 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Graham Ike's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Ike | 34.7 | 22.5 | 7.6 | 2.2 |
| Emmanuel Innocenti | 29.1 | 7.1 | 5.0 | 1.9 |
| Mario Saint-Supery | 24.0 | 9.5 | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| Davis Fogle | 23.3 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 2.1 |
| Jalen Warley | 23.3 | 7.5 | 3.2 | 2.1 |
| Tyon Grant-Foster | 22.5 | 10.7 | 5.3 | 1.5 |
| Adam Miller | 20.9 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Braeden Smith | 16.5 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 2.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Bittle | 35.8 | 17.4 | 7.1 | 3.4 |
| Takai Simpkins | 33.8 | 12.5 | 3.2 | 2.5 |
| Kwame Evans Jr. | 32.9 | 13.7 | 7.3 | 1.5 |
| Sean Stewart | 25.5 | 6.7 | 4.7 | 1.7 |
| Dezdrick Lindsay | 21.2 | 5.7 | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| Drew Carter | 19.0 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Wei Lin | 18.2 | 6.8 | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Jamari Phillips | 14.0 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
48% of GONZ's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
44% of ORE's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | GONZ+9 | +9 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | GONZ27-3 · last 30 games | ORE10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 95.7#361 of 361 | 113.7#86 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +25.5#2 of 361 | −5.3#250 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | +17.8#1 of 361 | −3.5#248 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points for | 84.6#14 of 361 | 71.3#258 of 361 | 74.3 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.