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UNC Wilmington (24-6 in 2025–26) hosts Charleston (20-11 in 2025–26) on Jan 28, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
COFC offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UNCW defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
UNCW offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · COFC defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
COFCUNCW
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
COFCUNCWNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jlynn Counter's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jlynn Counter | 33.0 | 15.7 | 4.6 | 6.5 |
| Connor Hickman | 29.6 | 9.9 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Colby Duggan | 28.1 | 8.1 | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| Martin Kalu | 26.2 | 5.9 | 4.0 | 0.6 |
| Christian Reeves | 25.9 | 14.3 | 9.3 | 0.6 |
| Chris Davis Jr. | 22.4 | 9.0 | 3.8 | 1.0 |
| Chol Machot | 17.3 | 8.0 | 4.7 | 0.1 |
| Chadlyn Traylor | 14.9 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Hodge | 33.5 | 12.9 | 4.7 | 1.6 |
| Greedy Williams | 32.4 | 10.7 | 2.7 | 4.5 |
| Christian May | 30.1 | 11.2 | 5.2 | 1.5 |
| Patrick Wessler | 30.0 | 15.3 | 10.4 | 1.3 |
| Noah Ross | 29.9 | 8.7 | 5.3 | 2.0 |
| Madison Durr | 19.5 | 8.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Jahnathan Lamothe | 16.1 | 6.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Makoi Mabor Makoi | 8.4 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 0.1 |
COFC offenseper gameUNCW defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
COFCForAgainst45% of COFC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UNCWForAgainst47% of UNCW's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
COFC 4series6 UNCW| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | COFC 79 | UNCW 76 | COFC+3 | +3 |
| Feb 9, 2026 | UNCW 76 | COFC 64 | UNCW+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2025 | COFC 67 | UNCW 68 | UNCW+1 | +1 |
| Feb 13, 2025 | COFC 66 | UNCW 86 | UNCW+20 | +20 |
| Jan 23, 2025 | UNCW 85 | COFC 83 | UNCW+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2024 | UNCW 80 | COFC 74 | UNCW+6 | +6 |
| Jan 20, 2024 | COFC 69 | UNCW 78 | UNCW+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | UNCW 58 | COFC 63 | COFC+5 | +5 |
| Feb 8, 2023 | UNCW 61 | COFC 93 | COFC+32 | +32 |
| Jan 11, 2023 | COFC 71 | UNCW 69 | COFC+2 | +2 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | COFC20-10 · last 30 games | UNCW24-6 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 78.0#62 of 361 | 74.2#231 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Possessions per game | 68.3#163 of 361 | 65.5#299 of 361 | 68.0 |
| 1st half points against | 35.2#172 of 361 | 32.5#298 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +2.9#126 of 361 | +11.5#39 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.