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Cal Poly (12-19 in 2025–26) hosts UC Irvine (21-11 in 2025–26) on Jan 28, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UCI offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · CP defense in 3
CP offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · UCI defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UCICP
Expected pace: about 73 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UCICPNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Hamad Mousa's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jurian Dixon | 32.3 | 16.3 | 4.5 | 3.0 |
| Kyle Evans | 32.2 | 12.3 | 9.0 | 0.9 |
| Derin Saran | 28.9 | 10.1 | 5.0 | 2.5 |
| Tama Isaac | 27.2 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 4.1 |
| Andre Henry | 25.2 | 13.1 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| Harrison Carrington | 18.0 | 9.0 | 4.4 | 0.8 |
| Jovan Jester Jr. | 14.5 | 5.3 | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| Akiva McBirney-Griffin | 11.9 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamad Mousa | 31.8 | 18.7 | 6.0 | 1.9 |
| Peter Bandelj | 30.8 | 10.8 | 3.9 | 3.3 |
| Cayden Ward | 29.7 | 13.7 | 7.0 | 2.1 |
| Guzman Vasilic | 23.9 | 8.8 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| Austin Goode | 20.4 | 7.5 | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| Jake Davis | 17.5 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Jess Esso Essis | 17.4 | 8.6 | 3.6 | 1.0 |
| Luka Tarlac | 14.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 2.3 |
UCI offenseper gameCP defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UCIForAgainst46% of UCI's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
CPForAgainst47% of CP's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UCI 8series2 CP| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | CP 85 | UCI 107 | UCI+22 | +22 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | UCI 73 | CP 79 | CP+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | CP 78 | UCI 96 | UCI+18 | +18 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CP 71 | UCI 101 | UCI+30 | +30 |
| Jan 2, 2025 | UCI 98 | CP 89 | UCI+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | CP 68 | UCI 82 | UCI+14 | +14 |
| Feb 1, 2024 | UCI 73 | CP 59 | UCI+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2023 | UCI 59 | CP 56 | UCI+3 | +3 |
| Feb 9, 2023 | CP 54 | UCI 55 | UCI+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | UCI 54 | CP 65 | CP+11 | +11 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UCI20-10 · last 30 games | CP12-18 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points against | 31.6#330 of 361 | 40.9#6 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 98.0#355 of 361 | 112.7#115 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +3.4#40 of 361 | +1.7#246 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +7.6#62 of 361 | −4.1#234 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.