Creighton vs Villanova Odds, Stats & Props

MarketMarket

Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.

Pro

Model's read

The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.

Start 7-day free trial See the record

What to know

Scoring margin

CREI +0.1 · VILL +5.9

Points scored minus allowed a game, 2025–26. Each team's own average, not a forecast.

Form

CREI 3-7 · VILL 6-4

Each team's record over its last ten games.

Rest

CREI 6d · VILL 4d

Days off before this game, from the schedule.

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory

ranks betterranks worseStronger72+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 361 (#1 = best)

CREI offensevsVILL defense

CREI offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · VILL defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

53.1%

#98slight

50.9%

#150

Turnovers · per 100 plays

14.6%

#185

16.1%

Stronger#78

Offensive rebounding %

27.5%

#278

32.1%

slight#258

Free throw rate

20.9%

#316

20.6%

Stronger#43

VILL offensevsCREI defense

VILL offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · CREI defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

53.7%

#75Stronger

51.1%

#165

Turnovers · per 100 plays

13.1%

#60Stronger

12.2%

#331

Offensive rebounding %

31.6%

#138slight

29.7%

#145

Free throw rate

21.6%

#303

17.3%

Stronger#5

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesHistory

CREIVILL

+0.1 175thNet rating64th +8.9

110.1 159thOffensive rating69th 115.1

110.0 188thDefensive rating92nd 106.2

68.2 181stPace261st 66.6

Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

VILL turnovers
VILL offense 13.1% (60th) vs CREI defense allowing 12.2% (331st)
+271 spots
VILL 3-point shooting
VILL offense 35.6% (84th) vs CREI defense allowing 35.4% (266th)
+182 spots
VILL effective shooting
VILL offense 53.7% (75th) vs CREI defense allowing 51.1% (165th)
+90 spots
CREI 2-point shooting
CREI offense 54.3% (78th) vs VILL defense allowing 51.2% (151st)
+73 spots
CREI effective shooting
CREI offense 53.1% (98th) vs VILL defense allowing 50.9% (150th)
+52 spots

ContextHistory

last 10 days

CREI

MARQ

VILL

6 days rest

VILL

XAV

DEP

CREI

4 days rest

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

CREI · last 10

15-17 · 297 days rest

Apr 4 vs WVU2025–26L 70–87
Apr 2 vs RUTG2025–26W 82–69
Mar 12 @ HALL2025–26L 61–72
Mar 4 @ BTLR2025–26W 76–59
Feb 28 vs PROV2025–26L 76–79
Feb 25 vs DEP2025–26L 71–72
Feb 21 @ SJU2025–26L 52–81
Feb 18 @ CONN2025–26W 91–84
Feb 14 vs VILL2025–26L 69–80
Feb 11 @ DEP2025–26L 71–72

3-7 in these

VILL · last 10

23-8 · 312 days rest

Mar 20 vs USU2025–26L 76–86
Mar 12 vs GTWN2025–26L 64–78
Mar 7 vs XAV2025–26W 91–78
Mar 4 @ DEP2025–26W 76–57
Feb 28 @ SJU2025–26L 57–89
Feb 25 vs BTLR2025–26W 82–73
Feb 21 vs CONN2025–26L 63–73
Feb 17 @ XAV2025–26W 92–89
Feb 14 @ CREI2025–26W 80–69
Feb 10 vs MARQ2025–26W 77–74

6-4 in these

Player props

No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number

Creighton Bluejays

Villanova Wildcats

Tyler Perkins

VILL vs CREI

Player page →

Points No line yet

CREI at VILL

Full breakdown

Tyler Perkins's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…

the game-by-game chart
hit-rate splits and filters
the what-if line and market curve
every book and the line history

CREI rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Josh Dix	34.1	14.2	3.5	1.7
Nik Graves	29.3	12.2	2.9	5.3
Jasen Green	28.5	10.1	6.9	2.3
Austin Swartz	23.1	11.6	2.6	1.3
Fedor Zugic	19.1	6.6	2.3	0.9
Isaac Traudt	16.9	5.2	2.1	0.3
Blake Harper	16.7	6.1	2.8	0.8
Hudson Greer	12.5	3.4	1.6	0.2

VILL rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Duke Brennan	33.1	12.3	9.9	2.3
Tyler Perkins	32.6	16.2	6.0	1.5
Acaden Lewis	31.0	11.9	2.6	5.1
Bryce Lindsay	26.7	8.2	1.5	1.9
Matt Hodge	25.3	7.3	2.8	0.6
Devin Askew	24.0	10.9	2.7	2.2
Malachi Palmer	22.7	6.1	2.3	0.7
Chris Jeffrey	7.1	2.4	0.8	1.1

Team rankings (2025–26)History

CREI offenseper gameVILL defense

Effective FG%

98th53.1%

50.9%150th

Turnover %

185th14.6%

16.1%78th

Offensive rebound %

278th27.5%

32.1%258th

Free throw rate

316th20.9%

20.6%43rd

Points

163rd75.1

70.774th

Field goal %

172nd44.8%

44.7%177th

2-point %

78th54.3%

51.2%151st

3-point %

146th34.5%

33.6%161st

Free throw %

53rd76.0%

71.7%129th

Rebounds

152nd35.2

35.2216th

Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.

Scoring by halfHistory

per game, last 17 games · the tick is the league's average team

CREIForAgainst

1st half

34.2

38.3

2nd half

38.9

40.5

Game

73.2

78.8

47% of CREI's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

VILLForAgainst

1st half

36.3

32.5

2nd half

40.0

42.0

Game

76.3

74.5

48% of VILL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.

SeriesHistory

10 meetings

CREI 6series4 VILL

Last 10VCCCCVCVCV

Avg total

139.0

combined points

Avg margin

CREI 0.2

per meeting

Biggest win

CREI +13

Mar 9, 2023

Last meeting

VILL won

Feb 14, 2026

Every meetingHistory

2026CREI 1-1 VILL

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 14, 2026	VILL 80	CREI 69	VILL+11	+11
Jan 7, 2026	CREI 76	VILL 72	CREI+4	+4

2025CREI 1-0 VILL

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 1, 2025	CREI 62	VILL 60	CREI+2	+2

2024CREI 2-0 VILL

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Dec 21, 2024	VILL 79	CREI 86	CREI+7	+7
Mar 9, 2024	CREI 69	VILL 67	CREI+2	+2

2023CREI 2-2 VILL

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Dec 20, 2023	VILL 68	CREI 66	VILL+2	+2
Mar 9, 2023	VILL 74	CREI 87	CREI+13	+13
Feb 25, 2023	CREI 67	VILL 79	VILL+12	+12
Feb 4, 2023	VILL 61	CREI 66	CREI+5	+5

2022CREI 0-1 VILL

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 12, 2022	CREI 48	VILL 54	VILL+6	+6

Measure	CREI14-16 · last 30 games	VILL23-7 · last 30 games	League
Share of points allowed in the 1st half	49.1%#24 of 361	45.5%#294 of 361	46.9%
Margin per 100 possessions	+0.7#156 of 361	+9.5#53 of 361	−0.7
Scoring margin	+0.5#155 of 361	+6.3#56 of 361	−0.5
Points scored per 100 possessions	110.3#152 of 361	115.7#66 of 361	109.2

Measure	CREI14-16 · last 30 games	VILL23-7 · last 30 games	League
Share of points allowed in the 1st half	49.1%#24 of 361	45.5%#294 of 361	46.9%
Margin per 100 possessions	+0.7#156 of 361	+9.5#53 of 361	−0.7
Scoring margin	+0.5#155 of 361	+6.3#56 of 361	−0.5
Points scored per 100 possessions	110.3#152 of 361	115.7#66 of 361	109.2

Creighton vs Villanova — College Basketball, Jan 27, 2027

MarketMarket

Model's read

What to know

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory