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Auburn (16-16 in 2025–26) hosts Mississippi State (13-19 in 2025–26) on Jan 26, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MSST offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · AUB defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
AUB offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · MSST defense in 0 · 1 even
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MSSTAUB
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MSSTAUBNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Josh Hubbard's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard | 34.3 | 21.3 | 2.7 | 3.4 |
| Jayden Epps | 26.7 | 11.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 24.1 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| Jamarion Davis-Fleming | 22.8 | 4.3 | 5.7 | 0.7 |
| Ja'Borri McGhee | 20.7 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| Achor Achor | 18.5 | 7.3 | 5.5 | 0.3 |
| Sergej Macura | 18.3 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 0.5 |
| Quincy Ballard | 18.1 | 6.2 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyshawn Hall | 34.6 | 19.4 | 5.6 | 2.2 |
| Tahaad Pettiford | 34.3 | 17.7 | 3.2 | 4.1 |
| Kevin Overton | 32.8 | 14.2 | 3.2 | 1.0 |
| Sebastian Williams-Adams | 29.0 | 5.8 | 3.3 | 0.8 |
| Elyjah Freeman | 26.7 | 8.0 | 4.9 | 0.8 |
| KeShawn Murphy | 24.8 | 11.3 | 7.6 | 1.4 |
| Filip Jovic | 15.6 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 0.6 |
| Blake Muschalek | 4.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
MSST offenseper gameAUB defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MSSTForAgainst48% of MSST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
AUBForAgainst46% of AUB's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MSST 2series7 AUB| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | MSST 61 | AUB 79 | AUB+18 | +18 |
| Feb 18, 2026 | AUB 85 | MSST 91 | MSST+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | MSST 66 | AUB 88 | AUB+22 | +22 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | MSST 66 | AUB 73 | AUB+7 | +7 |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MSST 63 | AUB 78 | AUB+15 | +15 |
| Jan 27, 2024 | AUB 58 | MSST 64 | MSST+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | MSST 63 | AUB 69 | AUB+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2022 | AUB 81 | MSST 68 | AUB+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2021 | MSST 71 | AUB 78 | AUB+7 | +7 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MSST12-18 · last 30 games | AUB14-16 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 108.1#208 of 361 | 118.4#36 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −7.5#238 of 361 | +9.5#86 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Possessions per game | 71.5#23 of 361 | 68.5#154 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 46.7%#185 of 361 | 45.2%#313 of 361 | 46.8% |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.