Toledo (17-15 in 2025–26) hosts Central Michigan (8-21 in 2025–26) on Jan 26, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CMU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · TOL defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
TOL offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · CMU defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Leroy Blyden Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamario Adley | 31.5 | 14.6 | 5.1 | 3.4 |
| Phat Phat Brooks | 31.2 | 11.9 | 3.5 | 4.6 |
| Nathan Claerbaut | 29.7 | 11.9 | 4.7 | 1.8 |
| Logan McIntire | 29.2 | 13.4 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| Keenan Garner | 29.1 | 9.1 | 7.1 | 2.1 |
| Nick Mullen | 15.9 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 0.5 |
| Jaxson Whitaker | 14.5 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Jalen Kampen | 13.3 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson | 37.0 | 16.5 | 3.7 | 4.5 |
| Leroy Blyden Jr. | 34.7 | 17.0 | 4.8 | 5.0 |
| Sean Craig | 31.6 | 10.1 | 6.4 | 1.4 |
| Austin Parks | 27.1 | 9.9 | 5.7 | 2.1 |
| Mynor Strong | 23.7 | 8.5 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 18.5 | 7.6 | 3.5 | 0.6 |
| Kyler Vanderjagt | 16.0 | 4.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Will James Jr. | 10.2 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
48% of CMU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
50% of TOL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | TOL+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025 | TOL+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2024 | CMU+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | TOL+34 | +34 | ||
| Feb 4, 2023 | TOL+25 | +25 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | TOL+1 | +1 | ||
| Feb 19, 2022 | TOL+2 | +2 | ||
| Jan 4, 2022 | TOL+28 | +28 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2021 | CMU+2 | +2 | ||
| Jan 19, 2021 | TOL+17 | +17 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CMU8-22 · last 30 games | TOL17-13 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −15.6#339 of 361 | +8.8#96 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 68.4#269 of 361 | 84.5#44 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 105.8#252 of 361 | 116.3#56 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −8.6#289 of 361 | +4.3#102 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.