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San Francisco (16-16 in 2025–26) hosts Saint Mary's (26-5 in 2025–26) on Jan 26, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
SMC offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · SF defense in 0
SF offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · SMC defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
SMCSF
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
SMCSFNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Paulius Murauskas's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dent | 37.7 | 13.7 | 2.2 | 6.3 |
| Paulius Murauskas | 32.8 | 18.3 | 7.7 | 2.1 |
| Dillan Shaw | 32.7 | 7.3 | 6.0 | 1.8 |
| Mikey Lewis | 27.0 | 15.4 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Andrew McKeever | 22.0 | 7.9 | 9.3 | 1.9 |
| Harry Wessels | 17.8 | 4.5 | 5.7 | 0.8 |
| Liam Campbell | 12.1 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| Rory Hawke | 9.0 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrone Riley IV | 34.1 | 12.9 | 5.2 | 1.4 |
| Ryan Beasley | 34.1 | 12.9 | 3.5 | 5.1 |
| Legend Smiley | 26.9 | 8.8 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| David Fuchs | 25.4 | 13.6 | 8.6 | 1.4 |
| Junjie Wang | 24.9 | 11.3 | 2.9 | 0.6 |
| Vukasin Masic | 19.4 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Guillermo Diaz Graham | 17.8 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| Mookie Cook | 16.3 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
SMC offenseper gameSF defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
SMCForAgainst49% of SMC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
SFForAgainst44% of SF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
SMC 9series1 SF| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | SF 54 | SMC 79 | SMC+25 | +25 |
| Jan 13, 2026 | SMC 82 | SF 68 | SMC+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | SMC 64 | SF 65 | SF+1 | +1 |
| Jan 23, 2025 | SF 51 | SMC 71 | SMC+20 | +20 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | SF 66 | SMC 70 | SMC+4 | +4 |
| Jan 20, 2024 | SMC 77 | SF 60 | SMC+17 | +17 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2023 | SF 59 | SMC 68 | SMC+9 | +9 |
| Jan 14, 2023 | SMC 78 | SF 61 | SMC+17 | +17 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | SF 64 | SMC 69 | SMC+5 | +5 |
| Jan 27, 2022 | SMC 72 | SF 70 | SMC+2 | +2 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | SMC25-5 · last 30 games | SF15-15 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +7.4#13 of 361 | +0.4#264 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 64.9#357 of 361 | 75.1#116 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 99.6#349 of 361 | 111.4#150 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +18.0#11 of 361 | +0.1#168 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.