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Florida State (18-15 in 2025–26) hosts Notre Dame (13-18 in 2025–26) on Jan 26, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
ND offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · FSU defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
FSU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · ND defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
NDFSU
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
NDFSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Robert McCray V's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden Shrewsberry | 35.1 | 12.4 | 3.5 | 2.6 |
| Cole Certa | 33.7 | 17.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Jalen Haralson | 27.6 | 17.8 | 4.6 | 2.7 |
| Carson Towt | 25.4 | 4.9 | 7.5 | 1.4 |
| Logan Imes | 23.7 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 1.9 |
| Brady Koehler | 21.5 | 7.6 | 4.4 | 0.5 |
| Sir Mohammed | 17.8 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 1.9 |
| Garrett Sundra | 16.3 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 0.4 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lajae Jones | 32.9 | 14.7 | 6.7 | 1.3 |
| Robert McCray V | 30.0 | 19.6 | 3.9 | 5.5 |
| Chauncey Wiggins | 29.1 | 14.6 | 3.5 | 0.8 |
| Martin Somerville | 26.7 | 6.3 | 2.6 | 3.3 |
| Thomas Bassong | 24.1 | 6.1 | 4.0 | 0.5 |
| Alex Steen | 22.6 | 6.7 | 5.8 | 1.1 |
| AJ Swinton | 18.5 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| Kobe MaGee | 14.3 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
ND offenseper gameFSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
NDForAgainst45% of ND's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
FSUForAgainst49% of FSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
ND 1series6 FSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | FSU 82 | ND 79 | FSU+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | ND 60 | FSU 67 | FSU+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | FSU 67 | ND 58 | FSU+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | FSU 84 | ND 71 | FSU+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | ND 72 | FSU 73 | FSU+1 | +1 |
| Mar 2, 2022 | ND 70 | FSU 74 | FSU+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2021 | FSU 73 | ND 83 | ND+10 | +10 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | ND12-18 · last 30 games | FSU16-14 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 44.8%#329 of 361 | 48.2%#62 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Possessions per game | 66.9#234 of 361 | 70.5#55 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 76.5#201 of 361 | 75.4#110 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −2.4#213 of 361 | +0.6#159 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.