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UMBC (22-8 in 2025–26) hosts UMass Lowell (12-18 in 2025–26) on Jan 23, 2027, 1:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UML offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · UMBC defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
UMBC offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UML defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UMLUMBC
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UMLUMBCNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Angel Montas Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Spencer | 36.2 | 13.0 | 4.7 | 2.8 |
| Angel Montas Jr. | 35.1 | 20.4 | 5.8 | 1.3 |
| Darrel Yepdo | 33.3 | 10.7 | 3.3 | 3.7 |
| Austin Green | 30.0 | 10.9 | 8.8 | 1.3 |
| Shawn Simmons II | 28.6 | 6.9 | 6.1 | 1.1 |
| Victor Okojie | 19.9 | 4.7 | 5.6 | 0.9 |
| JJ Massaquoi | 15.1 | 7.8 | 3.0 | 0.3 |
| Khalil Farmer | 11.5 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Valentine | 33.1 | 13.3 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| DJ Armstrong Jr. | 31.6 | 13.2 | 3.1 | 1.5 |
| Jah'Likai King | 31.0 | 12.5 | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn | 24.3 | 8.1 | 8.6 | 0.9 |
| Josh Odunowo | 23.4 | 10.3 | 5.3 | 1.0 |
| Caden Diggs | 21.8 | 9.6 | 3.7 | 1.0 |
| Riley Jacobs | 12.7 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 0.3 |
| Cougar Downing | 11.5 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
UML offenseper gameUMBC defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UMLForAgainst47% of UML's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UMBCForAgainst48% of UMBC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UML 7series3 UMBC| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | UML 69 | UMBC 91 | UMBC+22 | +22 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | UMBC 84 | UML 60 | UMBC+24 | +24 |
| Jan 24, 2026 | UML 56 | UMBC 79 | UMBC+23 | +23 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2025 | UMBC 79 | UML 98 | UML+19 | +19 |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UML 83 | UMBC 67 | UML+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | UMBC 89 | UML 94 | UML+5 | +5 |
| Feb 8, 2024 | UML 93 | UMBC 80 | UML+13 | +13 |
| Jan 13, 2024 | UMBC 82 | UML 86 | UML+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2023 | UML 75 | UMBC 70 | UML+5 | +5 |
| Jan 18, 2023 | UMBC 75 | UML 81 | UML+6 | +6 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UML12-18 · last 30 games | UMBC22-8 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points against | 37.6#57 of 361 | 31.6#328 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −8.4#286 of 361 | +11.2#40 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | −5.7#285 of 361 | +7.5#45 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 113.5#91 of 361 | 102.4#328 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.