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Kansas City (1-26 in 2025–26) hosts St. Thomas (21-9 in 2025–26) on Jan 23, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
STMN offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · KC defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
KC offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · STMN defense in 4 (4 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
STMNKC
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
STMNKCNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nolan Minessale's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Janowski | 32.9 | 17.2 | 4.8 | 2.2 |
| Nolan Minessale | 31.9 | 19.3 | 4.8 | 4.1 |
| Carter Bjerke | 26.0 | 9.9 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| Austin Herro | 25.5 | 5.5 | 4.9 | 4.8 |
| Ben Oosterbaan | 24.9 | 8.7 | 4.7 | 1.5 |
| Isaiah Johnson-Arigu | 21.2 | 9.4 | 3.9 | 1.3 |
| Ryan Dufault | 18.5 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Hayden Tibbits | 13.4 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karmello Branch | 31.0 | 11.1 | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| Jayson Petty | 30.7 | 10.4 | 3.8 | 1.8 |
| CJ Evans | 30.4 | 11.2 | 2.3 | 3.4 |
| Kasheem Grady II | 26.2 | 10.6 | 3.6 | 1.1 |
| Chris Dockery | 24.8 | 8.4 | 5.5 | 1.1 |
| Jerome Palm | 23.0 | 5.7 | 4.9 | 1.0 |
| Addarin Scott | 13.6 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 0.5 |
| Jamaria Clark | 13.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.1 |
STMN offenseper gameKC defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
STMNForAgainst48% of STMN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
KCForAgainst46% of KC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
STMN 7series3 KC| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | STMN 104 | KC 64 | STMN+40 | +40 |
| Feb 1, 2026 | KC 64 | STMN 99 | STMN+35 | +35 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | KC 59 | STMN 65 | STMN+6 | +6 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | STMN 68 | KC 65 | STMN+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2024 | STMN 71 | KC 56 | STMN+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | KC 56 | STMN 77 | STMN+21 | +21 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | KC 43 | STMN 73 | STMN+30 | +30 |
| Jan 12, 2023 | STMN 60 | KC 81 | KC+21 | +21 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2022 | KC 76 | STMN 67 | KC+9 | +9 |
| Feb 3, 2022 | STMN 72 | KC 81 | KC+9 | +9 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | STMN21-9 · last 30 games | KC2-28 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +5.6#23 of 361 | −14.8#359 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +12.4#34 of 361 | −22.9#357 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 118.6#33 of 361 | 95.1#355 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 80.4#27 of 361 | 68.3#328 of 361 | 74.3 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.