UC San Diego (21-11 in 2025–26) hosts Cal State Fullerton (16-16 in 2025–26) on Jan 23, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CSUF offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · UCSD defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
UCSD offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · CSUF defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 72 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Hudson Mayes's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Ward | 30.1 | 14.7 | 4.5 | 3.9 |
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro | 28.0 | 10.6 | 5.4 | 2.4 |
| Christian Williams | 24.4 | 9.0 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| Bryce Cofield | 20.5 | 6.9 | 4.3 | 2.1 |
| Bailey Nunn | 20.4 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Landon Seaman | 20.0 | 10.5 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| Kendrick De Luna | 18.3 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| KJ Garris | 16.0 | 8.4 | 3.5 | 0.6 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Beattie | 32.3 | 10.3 | 5.1 | 3.3 |
| Leo Beath | 29.7 | 7.7 | 5.8 | 1.8 |
| Alex Chaikin | 29.1 | 8.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Hudson Mayes | 29.1 | 15.2 | 6.9 | 2.6 |
| Bol Dengdit | 24.1 | 11.3 | 5.4 | 1.7 |
| Jaden Vance | 18.5 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| Emanuel Prospere II | 16.3 | 7.1 | 2.7 | 2.6 |
| Aidan Burke | 15.3 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
44% of CSUF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
46% of UCSD's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | CSUF+4 | +4 | ||
| Jan 8, 2026 | CSUF+17 | +17 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | UCSD+45 | +45 | ||
| Jan 4, 2025 | UCSD+39 | +39 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | UCSD+7 | +7 | ||
| Jan 6, 2024 | UCSD+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | CSUF+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | UCSD+5 | +5 | ||
| Jan 22, 2022 | CSUF+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2021 | UCSD+7 | +7 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CSUF16-14 · last 30 games | UCSD19-11 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points against | 38.5#37 of 361 | 31.8#318 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 80.1#32 of 361 | 73.0#254 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 109.6#195 of 361 | 102.4#327 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Possessions per game | 74.3#4 of 361 | 69.1#117 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.