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Pittsburgh (13-20 in 2025–26) hosts Boston College (11-20 in 2025–26) on Jan 23, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
BC offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · PITT defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
PITT offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · BC defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
BCPITT
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
BCPITTNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Fred Payne's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Payne | 35.9 | 18.0 | 4.7 | 2.6 |
| Boden Kapke | 30.2 | 12.4 | 5.9 | 0.8 |
| Donald Hand Jr. | 26.3 | 8.7 | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| Jayden Hastings | 24.9 | 7.1 | 5.9 | 0.7 |
| Luka Toews | 24.5 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| Chase Forte | 24.2 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 3.1 |
| Aidan Shaw | 23.7 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 0.4 |
| Caleb Steger | 12.3 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Dunning Jr. | 36.5 | 13.0 | 6.9 | 1.1 |
| Cameron Corhen | 33.7 | 14.7 | 5.7 | 1.9 |
| Damarco Minor | 32.1 | 6.7 | 3.8 | 3.0 |
| Omari Witherspoon | 30.3 | 7.3 | 3.7 | 2.8 |
| Roman Siulepa | 30.3 | 11.1 | 6.9 | 1.2 |
| Brandin Cummings | 25.3 | 8.8 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Nojus Indrusaitis | 25.1 | 10.4 | 3.1 | 1.8 |
| Macari Moore | 7.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
BC offenseper gamePITT defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
BCForAgainst46% of BC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
PITTForAgainst44% of PITT's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
BC 3series4 PITT| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | PITT 62 | BC 65 | BC+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | BC 67 | PITT 93 | PITT+26 | +26 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | PITT 90 | BC 65 | PITT+25 | +25 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | BC 58 | PITT 77 | PITT+19 | +19 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | BC 66 | PITT 46 | BC+20 | +20 |
| Jan 30, 2022 | PITT 56 | BC 69 | BC+13 | +13 |
| Jan 8, 2022 | BC 67 | PITT 69 | PITT+2 | +2 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | BC11-19 · last 30 games | PITT10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 105.9#281 of 361 | 113.6#89 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 74.2#256 of 361 | 75.7#103 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 101.1#325 of 361 | 109.0#179 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 45.8%#275 of 361 | 46.8%#178 of 361 | 46.8% |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.